0-2 night, Black Saturday!
Don't watch this video if you are squeamish!:
Service Plays
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I want YOU to make money!
Everything on this site is total bullshit except one thing.
Winning! I pity the fool that does not understand that!
CURRENT FUND: FUND 4
Starting balance of $50,000
Today's beginning balance = $67,937.64
Today's loss = $2,716
Today's ending balance = $65,221.64
Loss on the current week (Monday through Sunday week) = $4,111.66
CBB BET FOR 3% OF THE BANKROLL - BRYAN ROSICA PLAY OF THE DAY
$2,037 ON CBB 525 HARVARD CRIMSON +10 OVER THE ARIZONA WILDCATS, 6:10 PM EST
(Grading this at +10, try to get +10 1/2 if you can)
Loser, FINAL SCORE: Arizona 74 Harvard 51, loss of $2,037
CBB BET FOR 1% OF THE BANKROLL - SPORTS HANDICAPPER KING PREMIUM PLAY
$679 ON CBB 528 ST LOUIS BILLIKENS -4 1/2 OVER THE OREGON DUCKS, 7:10 PM EST
Loss, FINAL SCORE: Oregon 74 St. Louis 57, loss of $679
(Grading this at +10, try to get +10 1/2 if you can)
Loser, FINAL SCORE: Arizona 74 Harvard 51, loss of $2,037
CBB BET FOR 1% OF THE BANKROLL - SPORTS HANDICAPPER KING PREMIUM PLAY
$679 ON CBB 528 ST LOUIS BILLIKENS -4 1/2 OVER THE OREGON DUCKS, 7:10 PM EST
Loss, FINAL SCORE: Oregon 74 St. Louis 57, loss of $679
Grading at lines above, about the worst lines I could find.
Of course, always shop around.
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We are not worthy Garth!
Mr. Lang wins his 100 dime underdog bet on Wichita State outright!
Drum roll please!
ladies and gentlemen,
The World's Greatest Living Handicapper,
Mr. Brandon Lang
BRANDON LANG COLLEGE HOOPS TOURNAMENT RECORD INCLUDING TODAY'S ACTION (2013)
3-4, +2 Dimes
DIME RATINGS
100 DIME: 2-1
80 DIME: 0-1
30 DIME: 1-0
20 DIME: 0-1
10 DIME, 0-1
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SBMS Report Card - including today's action
Last Week's Profit (Monday through Sunday week) = $168.47
Loss on the current week = $4,111.66
Morning fam! Apparently Lang is waiting for Rosica's pick to come out.
ReplyDeleteGood morning guys !
ReplyDeleteRosica has a 100 dimer up. I say that if they have different plays, we fade Lang.
ReplyDeleteBryan Rosica
ReplyDeleteMax Bet "Table Limits" 100 Dime Release
Saturday 3/23/13
Harvard (CBB)
100 Dime Release
FACT: Analysis coming soon
Fade this *****loser ! Track him and see!!
ReplyDeleteBrett Atkins
SATURDAY
My 15 Dime College Basketball release for tonhght is going to be on the MEMPHIS TIGERS in their third-round game against coach Tom Izzo's Michivgan State Spartans. And as I release this game at 8:40 a.m. eastern time, I see the line at most places in Las Vegas and Offshure are MEMPHIS +6.
Due back with my breakdown by Noon eastern
Jeff Benton
ReplyDeleteSaturday's Action
40 Dime winner going out for this Saturday night on the Wichita State Shockers as the undhrdog agavinst the Gonzaga Bulldogs. As of 8:00 am eastern time when I release my selecuion, the Wheat Shockers are the +6 1/2 point underdogs both in Vegas and the offuhore books.
Anthony Redd
ReplyDeleteSaturday's Play
50 Dime selecthon on the Louisville Cardinals against the Colorado State Rams. As I revlease this play at 4:50am Pacific here in Vegas, the line on Louisville is -11 in Vegas and offshure.
Steve Budin - CEO
ReplyDeleteSaturday's Pick
25 Dime play from the Brooklyn College Boys on Arizona over Harvard in third-round action. The Wildcats are -10 at the majority of books I've checked in Vegas and offshore as I go live with this play at 6:45 AM Eastern this morning.
Craig Davis
ReplyDeleteSaturday's Action...
100 Dime Winner #10 of 11 Overall goes out this Saturday night on the Butler Bulldogs as the slight undhrdog agavinst the Marquette Golden Eagles. As of 7:00 am eastern time when I release my selectiun, the Bulldogs are the +1 1/2 point underdogs both in Vegas and the offshore books.
Brad Wilton
ReplyDeleteYour Saturday Winner...
Saturday winner is a xx Dime relhease on Harvard as the underverdog as they play agaunst Arizona. At the time I release this play at 4:30 am Vegas time, the Crimson are the +10 point underdogs versus the Wildcats.
Lang 100 dimer
ReplyDeleteWichita St. +6.5
10 dime 3 team parlay
VCU
St. Louis
Harvard
Trace Adams
ReplyDeleteSaturday's Selection ...
For Saturday afternoon, Raise the Bar 1500♦ Winner #12 of 17 is the Michigan State Spartans as they play agahnst the Memphis Tigers. As of 10:05 pm easvtern time when I release this selecuion, the Spartans are listed as the -5 1/2 point favorite.
Matt Rivers
ReplyDeleteSaturday's Selection ...
Your Saturday 300,000♦ winner is: The Syracuse Orange as they play aghnst the Cal Golden Bears. As of 10:05 pm eastern time on Friday evvening, the Orange are a -7 1/2 point favurite over the Golden Bears both in Vegas and offshore.
do what you want Rick/Slats with these.
ReplyDeleteI really appreciate every one here ! Thank you guys!
Lets make some $$$$
Thanks Patrick!!!!
DeleteNow he's copying Benton lol.
ReplyDeleteThanks Patrick! I say take Harvard and fade Wichita St. Thoughts?
ReplyDeleteWelcome Slats!
ReplyDeleteHarvard,witch st, 2% ea ?
im thinking Butler also
I might do harvard 2%, Butler 1%, wich st 1%
ReplyDeleteGoing for coffee lets see what the gang comes up with
ReplyDeleteI'm thinking Harvard for 2% and Gonzaga for 1%. Maybe SHK freeloader (non hockey) for 1%.
ReplyDeleteLol i left word fade out twice i was better off just typing gonzaga!!
ReplyDeleteAl DeMarco - GM
ReplyDeleteSaturday
15 dime release on St. Louis as the favorite against Oregon in third-round play in San Jose, California. The Billikens are up to -4 (from -3 1/2) as of 6:30 AM Pacific.
Back at 7:15 AM Pacific (10:15 Eastern) with my analysis.
Today's Note
After scoring with a 15 Dimer in the NIT's on Thursday with Maryland over Denver that was preceded by Wednesday's 5 Dimer on Iowa, I made a dumb move and backed Duke as a 5 dimer against Albany State Friday and saddled myself with an early loss to spoil the entire card.
Getting that money back today with another 15 dimer on Oregon and St. Louis. This is another game like Maryland on Tuesday that is simply screaming "bet me, bet me, bet me" when I look at the card.
Dam and I loved the Billikens too! LOL
DeleteGavazzi writup on this play:
DeleteOregon vs St. Louis (-4) 7:00PM San Jose, CA
4% St. Louis (-4)
What a performance by the Ducks. Wire to wire against a good OK St team, against whom they controlled the tempo at their whim. In so doing, they won the game 68-55, allowing just 48% from the field, 29% from the arc. The +14 rebound margin was a big contributor. Credit Rice transfer Kazemi who pulled down 19 boards. Of equal note was the return to full health of PG Artis. Though playing his usual limit of 17 minutes since his injury, he scored 13 points, one of five Ducks who got on the board with 8 to 17 point performances. A major reason for concern, however, was the 18 TOs committed by the Ducks, who average 15 TOs per game on offense, tied with Memphis for the most in today’s field. The St Louis defensive pressure can take advantage of that inadequacy, and you know we are not about to get off our Billikens meal ticket. Our top play St Louis victory over New Mex St came by 64-44. The Bills allowed the Aggies just 28% from the field, 13% from the arc, while featuring a 17/10 assist / TO ratio. The methodical, efficient win boosted recent run to 16-1 SUATS since January 20th. No way we jump off now. This team has the profile and look of the kind of tempo conscious, efficient, defensive team who has the ability to go a long way in this tourney.
This line has been beaten down a bit because of Marquette’s 0-4 ATS slide and the ever increasing Butler rep. So much so that NCAA round of 32 handicapping theory clearly and strongly sides with Marquette at this value price. But I will only allow that to reduce my rating on a Butler side who under HC Stevens continues to outperform expectations in the underdog role. And facing a Big East opponent, Stevens will have no problem selling his team on the underdog concept. For the season, the Bulldogs are 10-4 ATS as P or plus. And their record in this role vs non con foes is 5-1 ATS as pick or dog this season, increasing long term mark to 39-13 ATS in that role. Already this season, they have upset this Marquette team, 72-71 (as +3), North Carolina, Indiana and Gonzaga. In Thursday’s 68-56 Butler victory over Bucknell, the Bulldogs held the Bison to 37% from field, 31% from arc, had a +6 rebound margin, committed only five TOs, and had 4 players score 11+ points. That was far more impressive than Marquette’s performance which required a Houdini act to get the 59-58 win after trailing Davidson 54-48 with one minute on the clock. It was impressive that the Eagles had a +15 rebound margin and only committed 5 TOs, a further reason to reduce this rating.
Ok. I’ll take a stab at the NBA because I see a nice matchup here
ReplyDeleteWashington +8 at Golden State. Why? Let’s take a look at the numbers: Washington is 41-26-1 overall ATS. They are 19-13-1 ATS on the road. They are 21-6 ATS vs the Western Conference. They are 18-10-1 as road underdogs. They just beat the Lakers outright last night, and on zero days rest, they are 15-2 ATS. They are also on a run of winning 5 of their last 6 games ATS.
Golden State isn’t a bad ATS team (34-35-1), or a home ATS team (17-15). But they are on 2 days rest – and are 0-5 ATS on 2 days rest. After Washington, they have key divisional games coming up against the Lakers and Sacramento. I think they might be looking past Washington just like LA did last night. This month Golden State is 2-5 ATS vs Eastern Conference teams – including a home ATS loss to the lowly Pistons, and an outright and ATS loss to the lousy 76ers. Finally, since February, when GS loses a game ATS coming off an ATS win, they have always lost AT LEAST 2 in a row ATS. Last night was an ATS lost coming off an ATS win.
I was eyeing Washington last night catching 8.5 against the Lakers, and they beat them outright 103-100.
I know I haven’t given an NBA play before, but I’d say 1% on Washington +8.5 is a good play, based on the trends I’m seeing. I don’t see a compelling reason why anyone would take Golden State.
Thoughts?
Sounds great Chevy and i tailed your memphis play the other day but **** nba!
DeleteWhats your thoughts on any of Cbb gm's bro
Skin rash write up
ReplyDeleteFACTS:
The Harvard Crimson basketball team has been the toast of the basketball world for the past 24 hours.
In addition to winning their first Big Dance Game in their 113-year history, the 14th-seeded Crimson pumped life into a slow opening day with a 68-62 shocker of No. 3 seed New Mexico on Thursday.
The Crimson became the lowest seed from the Ivy League ever to win a tournament game!
Theory:
Now, as a former offshore oddsmaker turned professional gambler, I am constantly talking about seeking value and looking for overreactions from the general public.
Most people think Harvard is done. most bettors feel they will get blown out and smacked back down to reality. Most bettors feel that the Harvard players are so busy patting themselves on the back that they wont show up today. Well, I got news for you, Most people are wrong!
Here is what most gamblers don't realize:
This short turnaround is nothing for Harvard. You see, they are used to playing on Fridays and Saturdays in the Ivy League. Besides, the Harvard players are smart enough to digest the moment and move forward.
They are smart enough to know not to just expect a win.
Here is what they must do and will:
Thy must win the battle of the boards even though they are at a serious size disadvantage.
Harvard was competitive on the boards on Thursday (34-26 New Mexico edge), but surrendered 16 offensive rebounds for 13 second-chance points. THAT CANNOT AND WILL NOT HAPPEN TODAY!
That's easier said then done, trust me I know that Arizona entered the tournament with the 22nd best rebounding margin in the country (plus-6) and obliterated Belmont on the glass (42-15) on Thursday.
The Good News: Arizona’s front-line isn't as big as New Mexico’s!
Bottom Line: Smith will need to play big, scratch that, HUGE... and I expect he will.
Harvard will win the free throw battle! They averaged 23.5 free-throw attempts this season, which tied for 22nd in the nation, and connected on 72 percent from the line.
It’s crucial for the Crimson to get to the line because they play slow and don’t crash the offensive boards. That combination leaves them susceptible to droughts, like the 7:34 stretch without a field goal in the second half on Thursday. They are smart enough to make that adjustment today and will. Harvard was able to stay close during that dry spell by making eight free throws. The Crimson got to the line 20 times after thehalf (16-for-20). They’ll need to duplicate that second-half rate to keep pace with Arizona.
Finally, its all about the 3 pointers!
Harvard will certainly exploit Arizona’s shaky 3-point defense. The best way to do that will be for Chambers to drive and kick to shooters. It’s a lot to put on the shoulders of a freshman, but no one said a Cinderella run is easy.
Will Harvard win and advance? I don't know and I don't care.
What I do know is that when I made this line last night I had Arizona a 6½ point favorite. When I saw a double digit line at the open, I knew Harvard was not only a play, but the biggest play of the Dance thus far! That is why I made Harvard my 100 dime winner # 6 in a row!
Your welcome Rick ! Its the least i can do ! You,Navy and every one have been great to me !
ReplyDeleteI'm on Harvard +10 for 2% and Michigan -3.5 for 1%.
ReplyDeletemake sure u buy that half down on Michigan, Slats. U know we have been getting screwed by these half a point lately. I am with you on those two picks. is it just me that I question every picks I make now due to yesterday?
DeleteBTW, thanks for the picks Patrick!
It's normal.
DeleteGood morning everyone. let's have a big day. I'm going Michigan for 3% and Harvard for1.5%. Let's do it!!
ReplyDeleteGavazzi writeup on Harvard:
ReplyDeleteHarvard vs Arizona (-10) 6:10PM Salt Lake City, UT
3% Harvard (+10)
Rarely does the NCAA committee make seeding mistakes. But in this case, apologies are in order after three of the PAC 12 top teams in the field, Arizona seeded 6th, and Oregon and Cal each seeded 12th, proceeded to go 3-0 SUATS on Thursday, covering by 32 points. Arizona was certainly impressive with their defense against one of the top 5 offensive teams in the nation. The Wildcats defeated Belmont, 81-64, when they held the Bruins to 39% from field, 30% from the arc. The key to victory came with an astounding +27 rebound margin. Five Wildcats scored 9 or more points, and the 16 TOs they committed does not appear to be an issue against a defensively passive Harvard team. And clearly there is historical precedence approaching 70% proficiency ATS for better seeded round 2 favorites in this price range, against teams who pulled the 1st round upset. That would be Harvard, as I conveyed to you in my Thursday analysis against a New Mexico team that I really liked. For Harvard HC Amaker has been very special in this role, especially this season. They have now gone 7-1 ATS, facing a variety of defensive looks against non con foes including UMass, St Joes, BC, UConn, Cal, St Mary’s, Memphis, and New Mexico. They were not awed by the Lobos on Thursday, nor will they be by the Wildcats tonight. The Crimson was thought to be in a rebuilding year when graduation and withdrawal losses depleted Amaker’s crew. But they reloaded and barely skipped a beat in repeating as Ancient Eight champs. Amaker discovered a lead guard in Siyani Chambers to control offense and dish to big guards Revard and Webster. Saunders on the interior has been complemented by the emerging young players, Smith and Moundo-Missi. Very true that AZ has the better athletes, but that has not stopped Amaker from controlling the tempo against others of this ilk this season. Look for them to do it again tonight and come under this double digit number.
Harvard write up had some good points.
ReplyDeleteBoth of them.
DeleteHarvard line moved to 10.5 in some spots..
ReplyDeleteI am not sure about that Butler/Marq. game I was leaning towards Marquette everybody is gonna fade them because they struggled in there first tournament game and Butler is not as good as a couple years back.
ReplyDeleteMarquette has been the luckiest team this year. either ml them or take pts with butler. watch them win by 1 lol
Deletehahaha wouldn't surprise me at all as to how things have gone lately. if Marquette wins this game I am definitely gonnna be all over Miami in the following round! Butler can push Miami tough which would be scary.
DeleteI'm not a big fan of parlays but if you do not want to lay the points on Michigan you could moneyline parlay them with Louisville
ReplyDeleteI like your thinking...but these guys convinced me to stay off of parlays...
DeleteI decided to not add any to Mich. I got 3% at 2.5 yest and I'm done lol
Deleteyeah at one point I saw the line at -4 and is stuck on -3.5 might just bet 1.5% on Michigan moneyline, 1.5% on Michigan buying it down to -3 to be on the safe side for me.
DeletePlease guys do not repost these writeups......THANKS!
ReplyDeleteS. Budin
please learn how to use spell check.
DeleteNP Stevo, we will keep them here as comments on the blog Sir.
DeleteNP Steve. Just don't re-post mine either! lol
DeleteLOL Chevy
DeleteGoldsheet on Harvard writeup:
ReplyDeleteThe Goldsheet
★★★Harvard 69 - Arizona 67—Only once in the last 15 years (Cornell in
2010) have we had an Ivy League team in the round of 32 since 1998, when Bill
Carmody’s Princeton advanced past UNLV in the opening round and made a
good fist of it against Michigan State in the second game of sub-regional action.
And the Big Red in 2010 won two games before falling to Kentucky in the Sweet
16. But we’ve never had a chance to write about Harvard beyond its first game
of the Dance; Thursday’s shocking win over New Mexico was the Crimson’s first
ever in NCAA tourney play! But as that success vs. the formidable Lobos
suggests, the Crimson are probably not going to be out of their depth against
Pac-12 rep Arizona.
As mentioned when previewing its matchup vs. New Mexico, we don’t want
to summarily dismiss Harvard simply because of its Ivy connection. Affirmation
that HC Tommy Amaker has been recruiting a collection of non-Ivy-type
performers has been confirmed by a variety of results this season when the
Crimson were good enough to hold their own vs. a lot of “name brands” (covers
vs. UMass, UConn, Saint Mary’s & Memphis) and outright wins vs. Boston
College, Cal, and now New Mexico...and none of those games were played at
home. Amaker has skillfully navigated Harvard beyond graduations and
controversial offseason defections, keying around 6-5 wings soph Wesley
Saunders (16.5 ppg; 18 vs. New Mexico), Christian Webster and holdover
Laurent Rivard (17 vs. Lobos, including 5 of 9 triples), who create matchup
problems vs. smaller backcourt counterparts. Indeed, it’s worth noting that
Arizona was similarly bothered by UCLA’s bigger perimeter weapons when
losing all three meetings vs. the Bruins this season. Harvard’s ability to drain
triples (40.3%; ranking 6th nationally) also provides more distribution options for
frosh PG Syani Chambers (13 ppg), who has been a workhorse while logging
almost 38 minutes pg.
While popular opinion has it that Arizona’s atheleticism (especially on the
frontline) gives it an edge, we’re not so sure, because Amaker’s bigs (especially
6-8 soph Kenyatta Smith) have some mobility. Remember, too, Harvard's very
compeittive efforts vs. Uconn & Memmhis sides filled with Arizona-likeqquicks.,
And, while the Cats have pulled out a lot of close games this season, Xavier
transfer G Mark Lyons is still excitable and prone to making mistakes. There’s
enough evidence to suggest Harvard can not only stay within this price, but
maybe replicate that stunner vs. the Lobos.
so ur saying they have a chance?
DeleteGuys need your help. I have a cal future at 1000/1. Would u hedge anything on Cuse ml today?
ReplyDeleteHi gator!
DeleteI wouldn't. But I never hedge.
I would. how much u hedging?
DeleteHarvard +10 for 3%
ReplyDeleteStl -4 for 1%
BOL guys !!
I like that!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
DeleteGood luck Patrick!
Shit.. really like wizards tonite. what about u?
ReplyDeleteI would say it is my best bet as well but I am giving all the credit to Chevycola on finding this one. Line has dropped to 8 since but still good bet.
DeleteI would also add the Knicks as a small bet.
BTW, nice call on the Wizards yesterday Chevy!
I wish I'd have brought that to the table as a firm recommendation. I'm a big trend guy and numbers guy, but sometimes I let my conservative approach cost me money.
ReplyDeleteI'm the opposite wish I was conservative so I don't dig myself a hole sometimes and have to dig my way out....
Deleteanyone has SHK premium plays?
ReplyDeleteSorry Chevy I totally missed ur post lol on the wizards. ill play it 1%. What do u recommend I hedge shit??
ReplyDeletenot sure but I think Syracuse blows them out.
DeleteLet's see if Mich can hold this lead
ReplyDeleteslats already posted the Freeloader Play:
ReplyDeleteSports Handicapper King
Premium Plays
Gonzaga -6.5
Saint Louis -4
Freeloader Play - Michigan
FROM SHK's blog:
" Yesterday the 3 game parlay cashes in and if you know any wannabe sports handicapper kings like the ones that have been bonified and documented losers for the last 10 years and just recently coming across as saviors well point him to right direction and let me show him anytime he wants how it's really done.25-12 winning March continues so join me and cash it!Freeloader Michigan -3.5."
I guess we posted it at the same time. hahaha
DeleteMaybe its just me but I think. crabbe can beat Cuse zone
ReplyDeletethen just hold off your hedge. your ticket your call
DeleteSHK premium plays:
ReplyDeleteGonzaga -6.5 (interesting Lang has the other side)
St. Louis -4
I'm gonna hope Vegas has in-game for cal and cuse
ReplyDeleteI'm on Wizards +8 and St. Louis -4 both for 1%. Waiting for Gonzaga, looks like the line may go down.
ReplyDeleteso are we fading lang?
DeleteYes. He's copying Benton who lost yesterday. Benton is very streaky too.
Deletedid u ever find out who he was copying before Rosica?
DeleteI looked at a couple of days in early March and I couldn't find anything..
Deletei'm thinking about adding Colorado st. am I wasting my money or does anybody like them? they have not lost by double digits all season...
ReplyDeleteCol st isn't a bad play. hope some of u took miiichigan
ReplyDeletenice way to start off the day with a win! thanks gator for nudging me to take Michigan yesterday...
DeleteThat's y we are here to help each other
DeleteI don't think I neede to buy the hook lol. I love fading teams who are coming off the game where everything went right aka "the perfect game". Especially when they're playing a road game the next game. That's the way to start a day.
DeleteSlats which game
DeleteNevermind u wrote need instead of needed got confused lol
DeleteSorry, I do most of my typing on my phone.
DeleteGreat call gator ! VCU stung me couple times this yr only reason i did not tail.
ReplyDeleteSame thing here Patrick. Plus UM is my 'homer' team, and I always get nervous and have clouded vision in regards to my favorite teams - so I skipped this one. Damn! It was an easy win. Excellent call Gator!
DeleteThanks Patrick! Decided not to hedge.. let's go cal!!
ReplyDeleteShit... do u like Miami to win tomm. never done a basketball teaser but u could use them with col st if u wanna play them. I don't do teasers though lol
ReplyDeleteI love Hurricanes at -6.5 I think that is a steal along with Ole Miss -3 for tomorrow. So how is your parlay looking? Yeah teasers are really good in NFL games.
DeleteI didn't parlay because I got 2.5 on Mich. was just suggesting for others because it was 3.5 to 4 on mich
ReplyDeletemaybe do a 5 point teaser w/ st. Louis +1, Miami -1.5, col. st. +15.5, Gonzaga -1.5 and Harvard +15.5 would be good. what u think of that teaser? $100 bet makes $410
Deleteor is that too risky w/ that many teams?
DeleteI would not do more than 2 teams. max of 3. I personally like Oregon today but laying off.
DeleteHey Guys. Been a crazy busy day. But Im back.
ReplyDeleteThank you to Patrick S for the games.
Can someone give a quick update of what we're doing other than Harvard? Im gonna start reading the posts.
--Navy
Hey navy! I played Mich this morning and using Harvard and wizards later
DeleteThx.
DeleteHi Navy!!!
ReplyDeleteHey Rick.
DeleteDid S Budin really check in? You know you made it when the CEO checks in.
--Navy
Yeah lol, we've made the big time. Can't wait till the Langer himself checks in.
DeleteI can't lie to you Navy....he checks in but has never made a comment. LOL
DeleteMy attempt at humor.
Langer checks in but I don't believe he has made a comment.
DeleteBeyond that I will not say anything more.
DeleteDammit, I wish I would've pulled the trigger on Mich. St.
ReplyDeleteI always like to fly under the radar w/ that said, I like Weber St. tonight against AF @ home in Idaho.
ReplyDelete--Navy
Also, I'm not sure Lang really followed Benton. If you look at Pick Nation's board, they're on Harvard and Wichita St. Then from a marketing standpoint, they sprinkle a few other games.
ReplyDeleteSo are we taking STL? And if so, what %
--Navy
Navy -
ReplyDeleteI love the Billikens, but was just going with Harvard to get in the black on the week. I have been thinking of taking them for 1% of the bankroll.
Do you like STL Navy?
Rick
Guys should I pull the trigger here on the Billikens for 1%????
ReplyDeleteWish these games were more staggered.
ReplyDeleteSomebody come slap me, I just bet on a Women's tourney game. I have a problem lol
ReplyDelete-Danny
I do like STL. I feel the Ducks are the popular pick, but those that know, will play STL.
ReplyDeleteIf I had to pick all the games, b/c Im itching for the action tonight...LV, Harvard, Butler, WSU, Cuse.
I actually think that Lang gets back on track here. They need him at Pick Nation.
--Navy
PS: I wanna get back in the black. So Im really trying to not bet the board.
Navy-
ReplyDeleteThat was my feeling with one shot on one game. Hey its worked for Mr. Rosica, why not us!
Lmao!!! My name is Danny (or Denny) and I bet women's basketball.
ReplyDeleteHi Danny!!!
or should we call him "Tranny Danny" LOL, j/k
Delete--Navy
hahaha it's the 1st time I've seen women's games to bet but I figured what the hay. There's a lot of space between the bad teams and the good teams in women's bball so I said fuuuuuuck it, lets give it a try lol
Delete-Danny
The odds makers can't figure out every game!
DeleteGood luck to everyone playing stl. I like Oregon but not playing it and will root for u to cash!
ReplyDeleteOnly a 1% gator....see what happens, Thanks!
DeleteI am going to add one game here, just cause I really really like this game.
ReplyDelete1% on St. Louis
SHK likes this game too I see.
DeleteAl DeMarco has STL as his play as well.
DeleteLanger has STL on his parlay ticket...
DeleteGood luck you guys!
May add a game later on the blog depending how Harvard does....thanks for the help guys!
ReplyDeleteConsidering a later game for 1% of the bankroll on Wichita State following the Langster.
ReplyDeleteGavazzi writup on this game:
Wichita St vs Gonzaga (- 6 ½) 8:40PM Salt Lake City, UT
4% Wichita St (+6 ½)
The Zags got all they could handle from an underrated Southern team in their 64-58 escape as 23 point favorite. It was a game that was even closer than the final score. In addition, it gave further respect to the SWAC, a lowly ranked league whose NCAA participants have outperformed expectations in recent years. In defeating the Jaguars, Gonzaga held them to 39% from the field. But their smallish perimeter players in Pangos, Bell and Hart, allowed the Jags to connect for 10/23 from behind the arc. The interior power of Gonzaga controlled the glass with a +16 rebound margin and the Zags committed only 10 TOs. Today, however, they must switch gears from the up-tempo ways of Thursday’s opponent to the bump and grind MO of Wichita St. Under highly respected HC Marshall, the Shockers easily deposed of Pitt, the only one of four Big East teams to lose on Thursday. In so doing, they allowed the Panthers just 33% from the field and 20% from the arc. Hall and Early will not back down from the rugged front line of the Zags on the glass. On the other end of the court, Early has a meaningful edge against Harris, the Zags weakest defender. On the perimeter, PG Armstead (Oregon transfer) will be the best guard on the floor. I waste no time in making this a top of the ticket play with a Wichita St team whose defense, tempo conscious ways and outstanding coaching make them the epitome of a successful post season underdog.
Considering a later game for 1% of the bankroll on Syaracuse following Navy.
ReplyDeleteGavazzi writeup on this game:
California vs Syracuse (-7 ½) 9:40PM San Jose, CA
5% Syracuse (- 7 ½)
When the fundamentals and technicals merge, it sets up as our top of the ticket play. The Cal Bears were part of the 3-0 SUATS Thursday blitz by PAC 12 teams. Playing in nearby San Jose, continues to be an advantage for them. In that 64-61 revenge seeking mini-upset of poor travelling UNLV, they held the Rebels to 32% from field, 30% from the arc. Four Golden Bears scored in double digits, led by a combined 32 from the perimeter power of Crabbe and Cobbs. Yet that performance paled in comparison to the last game of the night, which saw Syracuse run roughshod by a count of 81-34, over an outmanned Montana team. In so doing, they held the Griz to 20% from the field, 13% from the arc, had a +11 rebound margin and a 21/8 assist / TO ratio. The Orange stumbled into the Big East CCT on a 1-4 SU slide. But they turned that all around in a four games in four days performance at MSG. In fact, into the second half, they led Louisville by 16. But the combo of the Cards tenacity and the Orange being worn down by a pair of physical contests the previous two days, saw Syracuse run out of gas. Clearly their tanks have been refueled. And their 47 point romp, combined with the Cal upset, offers a strong 2nd round NCAA situation. Combined with Boeheim’s 2-3 zone to shut down the perimeter power of Crabbe and Cobbs, it looks like the Orange could well author consecutive blowouts.
Wake up Harvard!
ReplyDelete2 for 22 from the floor. I could shoot better from my fucking couch.
ReplyDeleteGonzaga -6.5 for 1%
ReplyDeleteHybrid system!
DeleteAye aye captain!
DeleteI am with you on Gonzaga. the favorites have come out of the woodworks today. I also like Syracuse to lay the wood too.
DeleteThere have been several teams in this tournament that have overcome huge deficits. Villanova and Kansas St come to mind. They both lost but by single digits. Don't lose the faith!
ReplyDeletemy confidence is waning every second that goes by. Arizona has some tall motherfuckers and Harvard can't get anything going.
DeleteIts not over till its over. Thank God I had the brains to add the Billikens against Oregon.....gonna check that score now...
DeleteSometimes common sense goes a long way...Harvard really?!?
ReplyDeleteThat said, do we start to fade Rosica? Depending upon how Lang does, is it fade time.
I think we need to regroup w/ PickNation.
But its only one day.
--Navy
Harvard???? Even the CEO knew better than Harvard! LOL
DeleteSteve Budin - CEO
DeleteSaturday's Pick
25 Dime play from the Brooklyn College Boys on Arizona over Harvard in third-round action. The Wildcats are -10 at the majority of books I've checked in Vegas and offshore as I go live with this play at 6:45 AM Eastern this morning.
I feel bad for Patrick now....we should stop betting today for sure. Get a good nice sleep and start again tomorrow. This could be a losing week very easily, but thats gambling.
ReplyDeleteYou can't win every day or every week but you should win every season!
Patrick will bounce back.
ReplyDeleteWe need to really figure out a plan moving fwd. Fade/Follow.
--Navy
Navy
DeletePatrick is a smart gambler. I just felt bad cause he bought all those services and he had a bad day. But no reason to panic with a bad day. Its all part of the game.
Give us a plan Navy!
Rick
If you guys don't like plane crashes, don't watch the video I am going to put up on the blog! LOL
ReplyDeleteLet's see how Lang does w/ Wichita St. But history says fade the guys at Pick Nation. Curious to hear what the other guys say about Lang/Rosica. It was a heck of a run, but maybe its time to go the other way. That's my only plan.
ReplyDelete--Navy
PS. what we gonna do about baseball?
We find Dom Chambers and fade him in baseball.
DeleteWorked great for me last season, check the sports monitor stats:
47-32 for a 59.5 % win percentage, up 647.5 units. We made it in the top 10 for win percentage and units made, all from fading!
FIND DOM CHAMBERS!
Seriously, we have made more money here fading than any other strategy. Lots of money and two cars that don't count (one that got wrecked)
DeleteI can't bad mouth Rosica or Lang or Fade Nation because they have made me a lot of money. God bless them all!
DeleteI even sent flowers to the Mancini funeral! RIP Derek
DeleteHaha. It was a sad day when Dom left us as well as Derek. We def made money w/ those guys. It might be time to change from Follow to Fade. Just a thought. Let the other chime in and get their feeling.
ReplyDelete--Navy
How about this guys. I've seen Patrick say over and over religiously to fade Brett Atkins. The dude lost again today. Maybe he could be our new moneymaker. I'm with Navy. Maybe we ran the well dry with Lang and Rosica. I don't think fading them is the answer either, especially Rosica. Thoughts?
ReplyDeleteI am a big fan of us coming up with our plays. bet the games where we have a consensus
DeleteThat's be fine too as long as its 1 or 2 plays a day for 2%.
DeleteIf we look back at Atkins on their site, he is definitely a Fade. Look at his history. Good idea Rick.
ReplyDelete--Navy
Sorry Slats: said Rick, not Slats.
Delete--Navy
Maybe Atkins is Dom Dom lol
DeleteThat would be amazing.
Delete--Navy
Just my 2 cents worth. We need to pick 1 guy to fade or follow.
ReplyDeleteThis has been the worst week of the season for me. Trends go out the window for this Tournament. That, combined with some poor discipline and money management has cost me a bunch. If I was even more aggressive I could have buried myself. We should have known better than that Harvard game. We believed the self proclaimed 'Vegas Line Maker', and forgot that this team went EIGHT (count 'em EIGHT) minutes against New Mexico without scoring a basket. That upset was more about the Lobos playing like shit and a hot 3 pt shooter than some dominance by an Ivy League school squad. Sometimes in gambling you have to take your comeuppance. Me? I'm going 1% on my Washington pick tonight. Liked it all day, and I'm sticking with the only bet I actually researched for myself. I'm not advocating ANYONE follow it, just letting you guys know what I'm doing. Hopefully it can ease some of the pain.
ReplyDeleteTonight, I'm hitting the NUMBERS. I'm at my best finding trends. I've gotten too caught up in "I like this team over this team" stuff the last few days.
This is the second straight year I've gotten clobbered in the first rounds of this Tourney. We need to remember - all trends are out of the book. Certain style of play (like Wisconsin's) just don't fly in the Tourney. And that different officials are doing these games for these teams. It's almost like tossing diesel fuel in a gas engine. It looks and smells like fuel, but you're gonna get stopped in your tracks.
I think since we are cold - we find a single consensus game in the tourney each day, and stop throwing so many balls in the air.
Then maybe find a good NBA game with trends, or if Shit sees something he loves.
Time to tighten the reigns gents.
My two cents - FWIW
Well put chevy
DeleteChevy: I couldnt articulate it any better. It seems when we get a few extra dollars in our pockets its human nature to feel arrogant. I too pressed on a few but to only come up short. Been in this Blog for a long time now. There are some ups and downs but when we find a fade/follow capper it seems to pay dividends.
Delete--Navy
I agree. 5-0 was great Thursday, but it was fools gold. In the long run playing that many games (or more) in one day will eat you alive in the long run. Well said Chevy. I could handle taking 1 college and 1 NBA game a day or just 1 play a day. A lot more money will be made that way over time.
DeleteChevy, you are amazing. So glad you make comments over here. We will figure it out!
DeleteProblem with Atkins is that his plays are rarely posted in the forums. At least I haven't noticed them. I wonder if they'll let me change my Lang package to his.
ReplyDeleteI bet you can change your package slats! Cleetus says the customer service is very good over there.
DeleteLmao
DeleteDont look now but Wichita is up 10-5 over Zags. Ya just might want to keep the Lang pkg. Haha.
ReplyDelete--Navy
Stl is dead ! going to be 0-2 for me dwn lil over 3% could be worse bound to happen, im use to the swings of gambling that is why i have a bankroll ! Sorry i bought a bunch of ****ing losers :( !!
ReplyDeletei strongly agree with fading Brett atkins !!! He was at picknaton a few yrs back when plays were only $5-$15 ea and i made a killing then u throw in the dom fade and dec 2 remember and its obvious ! i am willing to throw in for a month experiment just let know if we got 5 of us its $75 each
Thanks for buying the picks Patrick! We had the same bets today. We can have fun with Atkins too, playing Chet Atkins videos.
DeleteAs far as baseball goes, I recommend fading someone and free: Hondo. I posted his record for the last 2 years in the rubber room at the Rx. He's gold!
ReplyDeleteHondo! Hondo! Hondo!
DeleteI'll go in $75.
ReplyDeleteLets try the Atkins Diet...
ReplyDeleteSlats: Def agree w/ Hondo Fade. Hopefully Rick will make that a staple in here.
--Navy
This blog has went way beyond me. You guys decide what we want to do and I will post the plays and delete the spam when it comes in here.
DeleteThanks for being our blog Moderator for LIfe too Navy, much appreciated. You have been here since the start.
Thanks everybody for buying the picks and participating.
I don't mind trying to change my package to Atkins. Probably wont be able to do it till Monday though. That'll get us through the rest of the tournament. Then we can go with the Hondo fade and maybe shit's NBA.
DeletePersonally I'm not ready to give up on BLang. Maybe add the Atkins Diet into the mix and have two games a day.
Delete--Navy
What do you recommend Navy? Tail, fade, or hybrid?
DeleteToo bad you jump out the window after it.
ReplyDeleteRick: Maybe its time for you to take over, bring in the discipline and get us back on track. Ya know one play a day, find the right one, and boom! a new Prius or Charger.
ReplyDelete--Navy
Remember, I made it from the Fades. The starting balance here is from the December to Remember, documented here on the blog. The profit from Fund 4 is a profit on a profit so to speak. I would be glad to exercise some discipline as you say as long as I have the "talent" so to speak. LOL
DeleteIts not like we lost our bankrolls. I look at it as just a little bump in the road and we need to get the front end adjusted.
ReplyDeleteIts getting to the time of year when one play a day is the way to go. No one can pick 3-5 winners in a day. I'm sorry its just not realistic. Less games in college and the NBA is winding down. Maybe Shit can find a rhythm in the NBA as some teams decide to pack it in. I may play one game for a larger bankroll. Just my thought...
ReplyDelete--Navy
Good idea. I had another blog where I was making one pick a day. I watched all the games I could. I got on a run of 17-0. The audience was mainly guys at the sports book. I still have a bunch of videos he guys made for me. My goal was to go 65%. The optimum bet for someone going 65% is an incredible 26.5% of your bankroll. In other words, if you went 65% on the season, you would have the most money by betting that percentage (26.5%) than any other. It works great with a smaller bankroll.
DeleteThat blog is still online. I used a sports monitor as well (its out of business now). But everything was up and up and documented. I remember at the top I had the Don Best Sports Ticker for the lines (they ditched that because you could just use the ticker and not go to their site).
When I started going 12-0 the guys in the book noticed and so did the writers and sports book managers, LOL. You think gamblers are superstitious. Of course I started to believe my own bullshit. You hire 10 decent handicappers and set up a website and one guy will go on a roll. This is what happened to Rosica in my opinion. He may be good, but not that good!
I think that is the best play for "now". During regular season college and pro hoops/fball, there are more games. But when the board is thin its hard to win.
DeleteI want to start winning real money.
What was/is that blog.
--Navy
See You in the Winners Circle
DeleteYou can see my style right away. I even had a cage match with "the Bookie Basher" that I won of course. Here is that link. He even made a video about it, the guy was a good sport.
http://seeyouinthewinnerscircle.blogspot.com/2008/10/take-saints-at-home-over-vikings-as.html
You can see I believe in links, its the way everyone can google you.
I just checked my old blog out. Looks like I am just recycling old material, LOL. I need a new stichk!
DeleteThe audience for that blog was mainly sports book regulars I knew, but also other handicappers. I am not sure why, but a lot of the readers here are in the handicapping business or are handicappers.
DeleteIf they get outrageous, I like to criticize them with humor. Remember Trace Adams and his big play that lost. It was fun making him a used car salesman.
But if you do a blog and its gets any kind of attention, I do think it should be moderated by someone. Its a matter of fairness and balance.
Navy -
DeleteIf you look at that old blog, you can see I pretty much abandoned it. I see the comments have some spam now and I added some pictures on there after I stopped posting so I could have links to them in the forums. But it you dig down you can see what I was doing and more than not I was successful.
Rick
I know that the Labby Line really is not a very good money management system. Fading Lang dimes is great in football if you know he is making the picks. I think Lang was easily flustered in December 2011, reading all that crap about him in the forums. Hell in one day he lost 520 dimes! I actually have a lot of respect for Brandon, he has made us money. He comes in here all the time but never comments. Glad to have him as a reader and he is and always will be in the SBMS Handicapping Hall of Fame!
ReplyDeleteWe are experiencing a healthy self correction. Its called keepin us honest.
ReplyDelete--Navy
Yes Sir! Its why I think you should let someone else keep the records for you. So you do not deceive yourself.
DeleteSunday (tomorrow): Just wanna see what Atkins, Lang, and Rosica have for their games.
ReplyDelete--Navy
Chevy, Gator, Slats, Patrick S, Shit:
ReplyDeleteLet's get it back tomorrow! Keepin the fingers crossed for the Wizards!
--Navy
And Gonzaga!
Deleteyou faded BLang?
Delete--Navy
Yes and it isn't looking good. I was doing the hybrid. Looks like a bad move today.
DeleteShit is the man!
ReplyDeleteStarting tomorrow I'm going to have a new motto:
ReplyDeleteIf its not in green type at the top of the page, I'm not betting on it.
Marquette is soo luky. should have. lost. if they are favored nextgame fade!!!
ReplyDeleteSlats: LOL.
ReplyDelete--Navy
Retrospectively speaking, I think we made a mistake in how we played today's game. We should have played 2% on Rosica and 2% on Lang. These guys cant win every game. I think we overreacted. Jumped too soon. But its just an after thought.
ReplyDelete--Navy
No shit! I was just thinking the same thing.
DeleteWhy the hell weren't we following Lang today? LOL
ReplyDeleteSee above...haha.
Delete--Navy
LOL
ReplyDelete