Monday, May 6, 2013

MONDAY: FADING HONDO - 1% of the bankroll on the Cincinnati Reds -120 at home against the Atlanta Braves, 7:10 PM EST


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   I want YOU to make money!
 Everything on this site is total bullshit except one thing.
Winning! I pity the fool that does not understand that!
    CURRENT FUND: FUND 4          
Starting balance of $50,000
   Today's beginning balance = $56,302.91
Today's loss = $1,126
Today's ending balance = $55,176.91
This week's loss = $1,126
1% of the bankroll = $563

MLB BET FOR 1% OF THE BANKROLL - FOLLOWING JACK JONES' FREE PLAY
$563 MLB 962 BOSTON RED SOX RUN LINE -1 1/2 -115 AT HOME AGAINST THE MINNESOTA TWINS, 7:10 PM EST
Loser, FINAL SCORE: Boston 6 Minnesota 5, loss of $563
Jack Jones' analysis:
"I look for the Boston Red Sox to beat the Minnesota Twins by two plus runs tonight. They come into Game 1 of this series highly motivated for a victory after getting swept in Texas over the weekend to drop to 20-11 on the season.
The biggest reason I'm backing the Red Sox on the Run Line tonight is due to the huge edge they have on the mound. Clay Buchholz is 6-0 with a miniscule 1.01 ERA and 0.963 WHIP through six starts this season. The Red Sox have won five of his six starts by 2 runs or more.
Vance Worley has simply been atrocious for Minnesota. The right-hander is 0-4 with a 7.22 ERA and 1.918 WHIP through six starts this season. That includes a 0-3 record and a 10.91 ERA and 2.489 WHIP in four night starts this year.
In his last two home starts against Minnesota, Buchholz has pitched 12 innings without allowing a single earned run. In fact, he is 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA in three career home starts against the Twins. Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Monday."

MLB BET FOR 1% OF THE BANKROLL - FADING MR. AITCH IN BASEBALL
$563 MLB 952 CINCINNATI REDS -120 AT HOME AGAINST THE ATLANTA BRAVES, 7:10 PM EST
Loser, FINAL SCORE: Atlanta 7 Cincinnati 4, loss of $563 
Hondo (27-25)
"Hondo breezed with the Cards yesterday in Milwaukee but ended up treading water for the day because the wretched White Sox gagged on a two-out, two-run lead in the ninth, which left the deficit holding at 220 bragans.
Tonight, Mr. Aitch is counting on Arroyo flush by the Braves — 10 units on Maholm."

  Grading at lines above, about the worst lines I could find.
Of course, always shop around.
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SBMS Report Card
7 Week's Ago Loss (Monday through Sunday week) = $6,126.94
5 Week's Ago Loss =  $1,512.22
5 Week's Ago Loss =    $3,872.86
4 Week's Ago Loss  = $3,906.96
3  Week's Ago Profit = $1,829.64
2 Week's Ago Profit = $65.40
Last Week's Profit = $493.95
This week's loss  so far = $1,126

218 comments:

  1. Good morning! My POD is on the A's/Indians over 8.5 (-115). I've also decided to end my tennis plays unless its a major. There's no way of knowing who wants to play and who doesn't.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Good morning guys ! basically broke even last week he said pay for breakfast call it a day ! it was .025% going to do my best just to play the hondo fade and shit special cuz ive been cold as ice!

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  3. Buying him bfast is better than buying him a car Patrick lol. Good luck!

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  4. Gator: are you playing sociedad?

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  5. Hi guys

    Yes slats I am for small

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  6. Btw gator, I survived the first "Insanity" workout.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It was the fit test day so it went ok. It was still a workout though.

      Delete
  7. Benfica being out possessed at home????

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  8. Estoril scores.. about to crap my pants lol

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  9. Benfica red card. Bets dead

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  10. Worst part is estroils goal was way offsides

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  11. I think 5D just screwed me, had a 2-2 tie in a soccer game. my bet was pk, -1/2 and they said it was a loss. shouldn't I have gotten half my bet back? called them and they said the same thing. am I wrong?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I got this straightened out now I am gonna see if I can find everyone a nba play to bet.

      Delete
  12. First baseball soccer combo I've ever lost due to soccer. All loses have been MLB. Adding reds bosox rl and Boston/sfo parlay +150

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  13. What is up with the Jack Jones play Rick? Any rational behind it?

    ---- TRUCK

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi TRUCK You are making me work, lol. I just found his analysis and I will post it. I read it earlier and got the same feeling when I saw pictures of ORB before the Derby Race. I just knew that horse would fly over the mud to victory. I see several other handicappers are on this play so be careful TRUCK:

      "I look for the Boston Red Sox to beat the Minnesota Twins by two plus runs tonight. They come into Game 1 of this series highly motivated for a victory after getting swept in Texas over the weekend to drop to 20-11 on the season.
      The biggest reason I'm backing the Red Sox on the Run Line tonight is due to the huge edge they have on the mound. Clay Buchholz is 6-0 with a miniscule 1.01 ERA and 0.963 WHIP through six starts this season. The Red Sox have won five of his six starts by 2 runs or more.
      Vance Worley has simply been atrocious for Minnesota. The right-hander is 0-4 with a 7.22 ERA and 1.918 WHIP through six starts this season. That includes a 0-3 record and a 10.91 ERA and 2.489 WHIP in four night starts this year.
      In his last two home starts against Minnesota, Buchholz has pitched 12 innings without allowing a single earned run. In fact, he is 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA in three career home starts against the Twins. Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Monday."

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    2. I believe on the whole pitching matchups are overrated as a handicapping tool, as its all reflected in the line anyways. But I believe the Red Sox will be VERY motivated at home here tonight. My game prediction, this just popped in my head. Boston Red Sox 8 Minnesota Twins 1. Good luck!

      Delete
  14. Benfica cost themselves league title today

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. my soccer buddy just called me and told me he lost a thousand dollars on Benfica today. Still shocked at the result

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    2. I hate soccer because of the possibility of it ending in tie. I lost so many soccer bets because of the damn tie.

      Delete
    3. instead of getting a 50-50 odds ur odds dwindle to 33.3% chance of u winning.

      Delete
    4. Yep.. but a-630 team should nit tie or lose lol

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    5. nothing is given in soccer. nothing lol

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  15. Gonna play a blues +1.5 goals/spurs/sharks parlay +155ish

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  16. sorry guys not liking anything that really makes me want to make it a play of the day since the lines have moved up. I do like this nice little teaser.

    5.5 Point Teaser on San Antonio -3.5 & Miami -6.5

    BOL

    ReplyDelete
  17. Leaning under 1h miami

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    Replies
    1. I am gonna take a stab at Chicago 1Q, 1H, 1H ml, and under 1H and go over 2H.

      Delete
  18. Shit.. I can't believe I didn't lose of of those tt in soccer yet

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    Replies
    1. those are the best bets instead of ml on a team winning.

      Delete
    2. I did lose when I bet on Dortmund when they got a big zilch. fuckers

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    3. Lol. There were no tt today

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    4. before today Benfica had not tied or lost at home all year

      Delete
  19. gator heat up to -12.5 damn! do we take a chance at -13 or not in hells bells!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Would only do 1h..

      Delete
    2. I took a chance at bulls 1H ml +375 and bulls 1Q +250 along with the spread and under. hopefully can get a heat single digit line and I can take that.

      Delete
  20. Posting late but i took cinci for 1/2%

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  21. Replies
    1. nice sweep on the intervals on the bulls ml and heat under 26 points for 1Q. made my bankroll for today. lol

      Delete
    2. As bad as the heat are playing.. bulls should be up way more...

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    3. bulls are falling apart in the 2Q don't look like we are gonna get the 1H ml maybe +7.

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    4. I only took the 7

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    5. did u at least get the 1Q ml and spread?

      Delete
  22. Baseball starting out horrific

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  23. heat -8.5 went in on it.

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  24. I wish i had 1/10 of Noah's energy

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  25. good call on the 1H under looks like a lock now. c'mon bulls just get a lead going into halftime.

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  26. Not quite sure for my tracking record on the soccer play from earlier lol. Could it towards MLB or soccer

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  27. Yep 1h under we can declare a winber

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  28. That Noah basket saved u some cash :)!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. definitely will take a tie instead of a loss. lol

      Delete
  29. Well MLB will not be an 0fer. Over Tampa wins

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  30. Ducks scored.. hope wings haven't given up :(

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  31. wow heat only -9 seems like they are begging u to take the heat. is lil' nate coming back? Teague sucks.

    ReplyDelete
  32. Replies
    1. yeah. bulls won 1q, heat won 2q u think heat roll in the 3rd?

      Delete
  33. I had Toronto tb over 7.5 safely say its a win.

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    Replies
    1. Yep.Boston not helping my mlb.

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  34. Bosox have blown many chances

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  35. Like spurs 1h and over game

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    Replies
    1. I actually like the under lol total kept climbing

      not sure if heat are gonna win by double digits, pesky bulls hanging around. did u take heat 2H?

      Delete
  36. bosox are stinking up the joint. lol

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  37. Wings have 20 shots.. hiller on fire!

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  38. Just got under 92 here

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  39. Wings are dominating except the score :(

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. just need 2 goals. damn that is like climbing a damn mountain for them. lol

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    2. They're getting shots too :( 24 so far

      Delete
  40. This is why I wanted the nets.. could go6 or 7

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    Replies
    1. that's why I said there might be an upset (or cover) today just didn't know which game.

      I rather have a good series than a blowout sweepers.

      Delete
  41. Wings have 27 shots and no power plays

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  42. Heat are-400 wow...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. wish I had +800 for bulls pregame in my arsenal. lol

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  43. Still think with a loss heat win series but this is embarrassing

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. heat now at pk -135 lol

      at least we can get a good series price on heat (hopefully)

      Delete
  44. Up by 7.. what a choke job

    ReplyDelete
  45. spurs are looking rusty too could we have another upset brewing?

    knew that bulls line was too damn high I should have taken a shot at the ml. oh well

    ReplyDelete
  46. Knew heat would come out flat. When they were up 7.. I figured they'd pull away

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    Replies
    1. yeah they will be pissed next game. does bulls have a shot to win the series? if it goes 7 anything can happen.

      Delete
  47. Sloppy wings play.. 2-1 ducks

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  48. damn wings are gonna cost me a futures bet and this game.

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  49. I'm saying right now.. if the heat don't win by double digits in game 2....take bulls for series

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  50. Well I took blues in parlay at +1.5

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  51. Spurs 1h looks dead. Horrible bet

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    Replies
    1. I didn't get any spurs bet in on time because of the heat game...

      Delete
  52. Thanks ciriaco.. u piece of crap stealing 3rd

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  53. love ur statement on the heat.

    what are ur thoughts on 2H for spurs v warriors? can warriors keep this up? u definitely was right on the over since they are doing hack-a-bogut and will probably use that in the 4th so over?

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    Replies
    1. I'm doin awful today.. I'm done lol. What's the line?

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    2. Hiller is a wall!!!

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    3. spurs -8 basically spurs to only win by 4? seems fishy like the last game. I am just going for the over 102 2H

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    4. Think-8 is right line..

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    5. big dropoff of from -9.5 pregame. -8 and they are down by 4.

      Delete
  54. I'm worried as a fan now about the heat series..

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    Replies
    1. they needed a kick in the pants to wake them up. still like them since they got game 7 in Miami and the best player. I noticed when a player gets the mvp trophy for that game the team loses.

      Delete
  55. If I had to pick.. id so spurs

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  56. wow heat -12 game 2. wow

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  57. I'm telling u.. if they don't cover.. series goes to bulls

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  58. What did a gs/chi parlay pay?? Could have retired

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    Replies
    1. add pacers too. unreal all dogs covering and one didn't win straight up.

      another interval winner for me. had warriors +250 3rd qtr just lights out in these intervals.

      Delete
    2. bulls were high as +850

      warriors +400 damn I should have taken a shot at warriors at least.

      Delete
  59. took a very small shot at spurs +7.5 lol.

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  60. wings one? wtf? I left them out for dead. thanks gator for that play! winning night continues!

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  61. I want to forget today.. MLB was brutal along with soccer

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  62. shit i forgot to tell u about the alternate pt line parlay i did on chicago -4 and gsw -4. my 1 dollar bet paid 5000 bucks!!! LOL

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  63. never had a chance at the in game 7.5.. stupid book had ml at 380 and i wasnt interested

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  64. book put up a +1700 ml.. took it lol

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  65. thas what 2 timeout were wasted on????

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  66. 3 team parlay still alive with sharks left to cash

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  67. will be on blues game 5... think it goes 7. home team wins each game

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  68. nhl tomm:
    Montreal
    Under 5 montreal
    and sharks to close out parlay

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I am skipping the under. lol just the teams.

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    2. all the nhl games went over today too one push. lol

      Delete
  69. how much u put on that spurs ml +1700? damn congrats! I missed that one.

    I had the +380 but only $10 and the spread +7.5. lol

    I don't think warriors are gonna recover after this collapse.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. it all happened around when klay Thompson fouled out too.

      Delete
  70. dont lay that juice on sharks.. u already got them to sweep so id stay put.

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  71. i think the warriors will pack it in... pissed b/c i had spurs 02.5 games with benfica who bit the dust

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    Replies
    1. gator did u get over 1K on that ml bet?

      Delete
  72. I think the best way to bet these nba playoffs is to bet the dogs pregame ml. then if they get ahead go put some ml on the favorites. u'll make a killing either way lol

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  73. threw 20 bucks on it.. cashed 340

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. nice did u get ur money back from the day?

      Delete
  74. Replies
    1. well I still say it goes 6 at the most. spurs definitely win next one and warriors win the home ones.

      Delete
  75. ive thought about doing that with the live betting.. or u can do it with the points and just keep middling

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    Replies
    1. I make all my money betting on these intervals and on the dogs they are giving +100-+250 it's unreal. it's like the public is stupid and taking all the favorites.

      I am not sure on these game 2's but maybe starting game 3 we try it?

      Delete
  76. think i ended up a little. mlb was brutal..made it worse b/c all the benfica tie ins lost so i bet them again and then the baseball lost.. double whammy LOL

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  77. my thinking was.. gs is a good 3q not 4q team and young.. what the hell is an extra 20 lol

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    Replies
    1. yeah that's why I took the spurs at the end of the 3rd qtr figure they'll choke like game 6 against Denver.

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    2. and they did. i have to say.. manu ginobli is prolly my most hated player in the nba. he put up that 30 ft 3 with like a minute to go.. i went ape shit!

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  78. I hope sharks do it tomorrow. snap there necks don't let them up for air.

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  79. i agree with u.. if ur gonna take a dog 1h.. take ml also.. same for quarters

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    Replies
    1. I made a killing on bulls 1H and warriors 3rd qtr. that's why I went very small afterwards on bets.

      Delete
  80. I had a good feeling in the 4th on the spurs because tony brothers was refereeing in the game. he is the fucker that looks like romeo crenel he loves the home teams

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  81. this was a great matchup for the sharks and neimi is playing lights out. i think the habs rebound tomm. that was an embarrassing loss to the senators. assuming there arent another 236 penalty minutes like game 3.. that number is not an exaggeration.. that was the penalty time. think that goes 7 also

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  82. heat shot under 40 percent for first time since nov 11th.. wow!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I expected that after a long layover. think Miami plays a full game next time and not take these bulls lightly anymore.

      Delete
  83. someone said they saw spurs +4800 at one point damn!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. wow. i kept looking.. the best i got was 1700 and then i grabbed it

      Delete
  84. like is said.. game 2 will tell this series, can absolutely win in chi.. but if they put up a shit show.. stick a fork in em

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. almost tempted to grab bulls ml for series and u can always hedge later on Miami.

      same with knicks take them ml for series and if knicks win tomorrow take pacers ml for series afterwards.

      Delete
  85. i think its a safer bet with the knicks.. miami series price is gonna be more volatile

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. true not sure if they are coming down from that -2000 lol

      what are ur thoughts tomorrow? grizzlies/knicks? or grizzlies/pacers?

      Delete
  86. want to use knicks ml with something.. cant see them losing 2 at home.. if they do its 4-0 pacers

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. maybe sharks? lol

      should we do a pacers/grizzlies ml just for the hell of it?

      Delete
    2. blackhawks? think wild got there one win and now they can go back in there cave. lol

      Delete
    3. havent head a read on the blackhawks series.. could add some sharks to girzz

      Delete
  87. id say.. u have essentially sharks ml tomm for +200. just play the grizz alone and take the 2.5 pts

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. i am laying off then. i may buy a half a point on the grizzlies and also take ml. if they hit there damn free throws it would have been a blowout!

      Delete
  88. u noticed rip Hamilton is on the bench and not playing. wonder why he has not played yet? is he hurt? or in the dog house?

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  89. i dunno.. all i know is my heat lost to a c- team coming off a road game 7 and wet the bed big time. 39% from the field?? lebron was passive as hell

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. i warned u something is in the air. u can't always be square that's how u lose. lol

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    2. LeBron was fine it was bosh who i had a problem with. 9 pts. 6 rebs.? c'mon.

      Delete
  90. u know what that golden st v spurs reminded me of game 1 when phoenix blew it against the spurs in 2008. phoenix never recovered after it either.

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  91. i remember that game.. and ur right squares lose. bulls 1h was a sharp play as well as under 1h

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  92. btw.. play chelsea on wed. that line is waaaaay off

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  93. u asked me a few weeks ago better matchup for heat.. what did i say???

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. nets! but they got losers on there team joe Johnson, deron Williams, and Gerald Wallace and no heart. same as these knicks.

      Delete
  94. gator forgot to ask would u have rather won the alternate line parly on gsw -4 and chi -4 or the ml on spurs? damn felt bad u almost had it too.

    ReplyDelete
  95. u know.. statistically.. the spurs had a 1/200 chance to come back down 16.. why didnt they give me 200/1 and only 17/1 lol. b/c they make money

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. so they can keep the lights on. think the bulls winning ml should have been much higher.

      Delete
  96. i was only kidding on that alt line. my cajones arent that big LOL!! i found out that a ml parlay in gs/chi paid out 51/1. so... that would have been the prefference

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. lol. thought u had it. now all the squares are gonna start betting dogs and lose. lol

      Delete
  97. this bulls team scares me.. thibs is a fantastic coach. just runs his players into the ground. brilliant mind.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. imagine if they had decent players on there roster. lol

      Delete
  98. spurs were -9 and -500 heat -12 and -1000. when u get up that high each point the money line exponentially jumps

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. i saw -9.5 on spurs and heat went to -13

      Delete
  99. i ended up taking the bulls game 7 b/c i had nets at +400 and i wanted a profit so i hedged. but i was so pissed. i wanted the nets...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. remember before the playoffs i said i like bulls to win series bets, Celtics to win series, and grizzlies to win series as dogs. got 2/3 right and was wrong on warriors.

      Delete
  100. and ur right they need to keep the lights on.. last year when the grizz were up on the clipps game 1 by like 24 i took clips ml at +5000 for 5 bucks.. highest ml ive ever seen

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. now they are getting smarter they won't do that again. damn u made a killing on that.

      i tried with the nuggets in game 2 was it this year and failed miserably. lol

      Delete
  101. well my nba plays were golden today. bulls 1q and 1h under 1h.. lost under 2h. spurs over game and that +1700

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. wish u took ml's on 1q and 1h like me those would have made ur bankroll balloon.

      Delete
  102. i remember u saying that.. u did say bulls

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. i just knew bulls and heat were gonna meet again and if heat get by them they got to go through another grinding series w/ pacers and they scare me too.

      Delete
  103. denver and clipps were frauds. zbo and gasol are the real deal. my father took the grizz early on to win west and finals at the beginning of the year. he asked me for a pick i told him grizz. to bad i didnt take my own advice lol

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. what was the odds he got on grizz at the beginning of the season?

      yeah i got 2 futures on grizz to win west +775 and a heat v grizz finals +997.

      Delete
  104. yea i need to start doing those ml

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. basically free money because u take spread and ml. if u hit spread and lose ml u still back to square one.

      Delete
  105. bulls strength is heat's weakness. REBOUNDING

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  106. here was an o rebound noah got late 4q leading to a belinelli 3.. crusher...

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  107. i took the +775 with u.. he got like 15/1 west and like 25/1 for title

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. hope we cash. these spurs are not going down easily. lol

      those are good odds. is he gonna hedge in the finals? he must have known rudy gay was gonna be traded for prince at the trade deadline. lol

      Delete