Sunday, April 7, 2013

SUNDAY: HONDO FADE PLAY: 1% of the bankroll on the Saint Louis Cardinals +125 visiting the San Francisco Giants, 4:05 PM EST


2-0 day

Service Plays  

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   I want YOU to make money!
 Everything on this site is total bullshit except one thing.
Winning! I pity the fool that does not understand that!
    CURRENT FUND: FUND 4          
Starting balance of $50,000
   Today's beginning balance = $56,694.13
Today's profit = $1,126.75
Today's ending balance = $57,820.88
This weeks loss =  $3,872.86
% of the bankroll = $566

MLB BET FOR 1% OF THE BANKROLL - FADING HONDO IN BASEBALL
$566 MLB 909 SAINT LOUIS CARDINALS +125 VISITING THE SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS, 4:05
PM EST
Winner, FINAL SCORE: Saint Louis 14 San Francisco 3, profit of $707.50

MLB BET FOR 1% OF THE BANKROLL - FADING HONDO IN BASEBALL
$566 MLB 928 THE TEXAS RANGERS -135 AT HOME AGAINST THE LA ANGELS, 8:05 
PM EST
Winner, FINAL SCORE: Texas 7 LA Angels 3, profit of $419.25

  Grading at lines above, about the worst lines I could find.
Of course, always shop around.
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SBMS Report Card
 Week Before Last Loss (Monday through Sunday week) = $6,126.94
 Last Week's Loss =  $1,512.22
This weeks loss =    $3,872.86

109 comments:

  1. Gm!
    Hondo (7-4)
    The Metamucils, with a big assist from Mrs. Niese’s lucky blue skivvies, came through for Hondo yesterday as they mashed the Marlins to raise the earnings to 95 cepedas.
    Today, Mr. Aitch likes Matt’s Cain-do spirit, so he will drop 10 units on the Giants. Tonight, he will leave it to Weaver -- 10 units on the Angels to be tough-ish against Darvish.
    Fade plays-Cardinals & Rangers

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  2. Good morning Patrick and slats!

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  3. 0-2 for me yesterday dwn just under 2% for week and thru this miserable 3week stretch ive managed to keep it at -7% of my bankroll so today i like 4gms and im playing them.
    LAA +115
    Wash even
    TB run line -1.5 +115
    NYY +170
    All 1/2 %
    BOL guys taking my daughters out for the day !

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  4. Rick, are we going to have a new plan for next week or are we going to stick with what we did this week? I believe we did well with our concensus plays a while back. Maybe we can have a return of them? Because what we've been doing the last 3 weeks hasn't done very well. Just a thought. Thanks!

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    Replies
    1. We can go back to consensus plays, no problem. Rough 3 weeks.

      Delete
  5. morning everyone,

    Shit special of the day is on the Under 199 in the Lakers vs. Clippers game. I feel that this game is gonna be another playoff type battle and should be a grinding game. Best of luck everyone!

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  6. hi guys.. how is everyone

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  7. Kind of a ghost town in here today. No Navy, no Truck, no Danny.

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  8. I had to step away for a bit. Everything I played was a loser. I took a big hit to the bankroll. I pressed on a few games and of course they were losers.

    I'm gonna do a Hondo fade and the occasional play on a team avoiding a sweep like the Yanks today.

    Hope everyone is doing well. Are you ready for some football?
    --Navy

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    Replies
    1. Navy, what was the blog's strategy for football last season? Who did you guys follow/fade?

      Delete
    2. Two years ago it was the December to Remember when we faded BLang. This past year it was a combo of things...Rick's plays, fade/follow cappers, and I have a few rules I follow.

      There was less volume on the blog b/c all of you guys werent here, but now that youre here I hope we can really have a profitable season.

      --Navy

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  9. This has been a very weird year so far. Lang has all of a sudden turned into a winner and Hondo is off to a good start. Even IC, who has been solid for years has gone to the shitter. What in the world is going on?

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  10. hey gator,

    hope ur baseball picks did alright.

    sorry for the picks earlier not sure if u picked the same ones as we discussed. I am calm now and off of my suicide watch. lol can't believe Celtics bring back kg and pierce today and win, fakers/thunder crumble, over hits in la too. Nothing was working today.

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    Replies
    1. fakers still had a 30 to 21 free throw advantage but they couldn't make any shot whatsoever.

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  11. shit.. i ended up waiting on the thunder in game and got plus money.. still lost lol. i played over in that game because it got all the way down to 193. celts and under lakers was a bust. played the angels in game and that sucked. split on that reds fiasco and won on the cardinals. overall my day wasnt much better than urs lol. split on that reds fiasco and won on the

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  12. i love 1 play tomm. Love mets with harvey over doc halliday

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    Replies
    1. moneyline? how much 1/4%?

      good thing for me there is no nba.

      I should have played ur grizzlies under that would have hit.

      Delete
    2. only thing I hit was my team unders 4-0 on those but wins don't make up for my losses today.

      Delete
  13. Yea I didn't either. I'm going 1/4. Ill tell u to go 1/8. I am on halliday fade and love Harvey. I got it at +110. Looking at a few others.My soccer buddy loves one game and I.might play it 1/8. did u know grizzlies total under 3rd q hasn't lost in like a month!!

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  14. Ace pitchers got rocked today!!

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  15. Strong lean for me on rays

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  16. also suns have been horrible in 2H of games always good starts in 1H but fades away at the end of games for some reason

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  17. Yea because they are awful lol

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    Replies
    1. so u like mets and rays as ur bets tomorrow?

      maybe we should give that Memphis 3rd qtr under a try and fade the blazers too.

      Delete
  18. I'm gonna try that Memphis next game. as of now I'm doin rays and mets. what do u like. I want ur play

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  19. Soccer friend loves sevilla -0.5,1

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  20. Of course we bet the one over angels rangers game that lost

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  21. btw whats the soccer play if its not too much on the moneyline might play it too. not much going on for me tomorrow besides the tournament.

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    Replies
    1. haha u beat me to it. what league is sevilla in? r u doing 1/4% or more?

      Delete
  22. Spain soccer league. I'm doin 1/8.. just. going by my friend

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  23. He had some others but he likes this the best

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  24. r u doing those 3 games total? or u still deciding on the rays?

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  25. shit.. ur gonna laugh. i dont think im gonna play the nc game. i really have no feeling on it

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  26. im gonna do the rays. helickson at +145 has a ton of value i think. im gonna decide overnit also about the braves. i am a huge mahlom fan

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  27. here are my leans besides the ones i told u i like alot. braves RL, cardinal, min over, yankees, orioles

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  28. oh I forgot to check ur same innings prop I was out of the house most of the day will check tomorrow if I remember.

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  29. oh ok.. yea it would have lost today lol

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  30. only thing that scares me from taking Louisville is there not that great at making 3's. Michigan can come back in a hurry if they are down. I keep going back and forth on this game. lol

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  31. against vcu.. i knew mich was a lock.. against kansas i loved michigan.. to be this game is a toss up and that line is very sharp i think. and most of the time id lean under boin the game but it very well could go over. i really am clueless and im not gonna force a play

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    Replies
    1. maybe do a few in-games. wondering what our favorite touts (lang and rosica) are thinking on this. lol

      I do like the over 1H though maybe under 2H.

      Delete
  32. ok so my plan.. 1/4 on mets and rays. 1/8 on soccer nonsense. and 1/4 to 1/8 on what ever u throw at me.

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  33. sounds good. no plays for me tomorrow.

    maybe 1H over still undecided though.

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  34. Louisville also has a lot of the seniors but Michigan kids got freshmens and they know they are leaving so may win it all for coach and bolt. lol

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    Replies
    1. just like Kentucky last yr.

      Delete
  35. im confident ill put up an 0fer LOL!!

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  36. i love tampa as a dog and i love this harvey kid. i think hes a star in the making. halliday is just tanking his career. i got excited to see this matchup b/c im gonna back harvey alot this year and fade halliday.. so for me it was a no brainer. just pissed i missed it at +125.. was at work

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    Replies
    1. mine was only +106 damn books is sticking it in me again. lol

      Delete
  37. didnt have the game at all but did u see how the mavs covered. marion hit a meaningless shot with 0.1 seconds LOL

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    Replies
    1. Portland was down big at halftime too no way I thought they would be close to coveing. I took Portland under 101 team total and cashed.

      Delete
  38. HONDOS picks are in METS GIANTS and added bonus pick MICH


    JPITTS36

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  39. there goes ur mets pick gator. lol and my reasoning for taking Michigan lol

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  40. i dont care. even a broken clock is right twice a day

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  41. dont have any feeling on giants game..rocxkies playing excellent ball but can be skewed b/c padres are awful.. everyone loves the A's again but i could be houston LOL. that is the worst collection of players i have ever seen

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  42. what did are u seeing for braves. i see +100.

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  43. hey gator u think Miami is gonna try against Milwaukee on tues. since they are gonna meet again in the 1st round?

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  44. i understand hondo is a great fade but no way I can back halliday. if i lose so be it

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  45. no that is runline mine is -154 for ml

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  46. hey I got an 0fer today and I want to apologize for that shit.

    maybe I should double up on the soccer play. lol

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  47. i am not making any nba moves except grzzlies 3q under until i see injuries.. i normally dont look at line movement but this time of year i will. If the heat are favored by lets say 6 assuming everyone plays and some are announced out and it goes to a dog. im taking the heat

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  48. yea im gonna do rl or a -1. lets see what the -1 comes to

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  49. what does ur book have for rl and ml on braves

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  50. doesnt bother me if u had an 0fer. it happens..

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  51. this isnt my career.. i just do this for fun. yea i dont want to lose but its part of the game

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  52. my runline is +100 and -154 for ml.

    good advice these resting stars and not resting are killing us just wait until gametime.

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  53. yea im gonna wait on these nba plays to see resting players. ok let me get this -1 line for u to see what we should do,

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  54. -1 line for u would be -127.

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    Replies
    1. ok I will look for that tomorrow if not I will put it in ur way.

      Delete
  55. normally the general rule is u get 60cents from ml to run line. they are giving u 54.. that stinks

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    Replies
    1. I thought about going to another book but they are all crooks who can u trust? lol

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  56. thats on the road. at home u get a dollar

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  57. im gonna do the rl at +100. -127 is to much for me on a baseball play..

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    Replies
    1. u said -125 is the limit right?

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  58. from what i hear about offshore. urs gives the best odds for the most part

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    Replies
    1. but still they are skimming from the top u helped me find that out. lol

      Delete
  59. just saw the mavs/blazers highlight that marion layup to cover was funny.

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  60. on baseball plays. going over -125 will kill ur bankroll.. 127 is close so it's iffy but in general.. if u lay alot of chalk ull get smoked

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  61. offshore lines are so much better than vegas lines.. one book had rl at even but my ml is in the 160s

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    Replies
    1. so basically shop for the best numbers.

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  62. im sitting here typing and playing guitar.. i hope the kids dont wake up haha

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  63. always gotta shop for number. on my gators ncaa bball future. one book had 15/1 i got it at 30/1 form another. oh well didnt mean anything anyways lol

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    Replies
    1. u did hedge right?

      I am thinking about finding a good futures for the western conference in the nba. a lot of injuries though so tough to pick one out. lol

      Delete
  64. dont see any worth value.. i looked

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  65. i hedged but made like 2.5 units.. stunk

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  66. nc game stats: favorite is 7-4 last 11 for first half

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    Replies
    1. hmmm is there a stat on the over/unders maybe we can kill 2 birds with one stone.

      are u doing any nfl futures?

      Delete
  67. 2nd half trend in past 11 yrs of nc gm.. 7 times a team led by Double digits at half, 6 of those times team losing team covered 2h so if the lead is if single digits.. take team leading

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  68. havent looked at nfl futures yet. did increase my nhl sharks future again lol

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  69. over under trend that i found is single digit game at half.. go under 2h

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  70. im gonna check out the sharks tomorrow if I remember. lol what are the odds now?

    I do like texas a&m for college football but only +1500

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  71. i got more 20/1. i had georgia last year.. should have been in it.. 1 lowsy play away form 16/1 cash

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    Replies
    1. anybody would have been better than notre dame. I would even argue for oregon

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    2. bet u were pissed though

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  72. i was.. i would not have hedged either. thought notre dame was a fraud all yr. got lucky they beat pitt.. i had pitt ml that game. again very angry!

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  73. just found out that Michigan was 25/1 to win the championship before the season. damn u got to hedge if u have a Michigan ticket right?

    Louisville was only 8/1

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  74. a friend of mine i think has 28/1. hes hedgind some on ville. like 6 units or so

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  75. that jackass hedged 2nd half cuse for 4 units the other night and hit it as well. making me more sick for not taking mich 18/1 b4 the tourney

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  76. so i got my plan for tomm. excited for these games. I cant wait to watch harvey for the mets. he has a great attitude

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    Replies
    1. I think the soccer one comes up first so lets hope for a trifecta! I am gonna wait on the braves....

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  77. well I am calling it a night and get up bright and early!

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    Replies
    1. talk to u tomorrow gator practice ur guitar lessons and don't spend it on betting the games. lol

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  78. see ya.. sorry was doing dishes lol

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