Friday, April 5, 2013

FRIDAY: SHIT SPECIAL OF THE DAY - Minnesota Timberwolves -6 1/2 at home over the Toronto Rapotors, 8:05 PM EST

1-1 day

Service Plays  

 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
   I want YOU to make money!
 Everything on this site is total bullshit except one thing.
Winning! I pity the fool that does not understand that!
    CURRENT FUND: FUND 4          
Starting balance of $50,000
   Today's beginning balance = $57,398.37
Today;s loss = $132.24
Today's ending balance = $57,266.13
This weeks loss =  $4,427.61
% of the bankroll = $573  

MLB BET FOR 1% OF THE BANKROLL - FADING HONDO IN BASEBALL
$573 MLB 908 CINCINNATI REDS -130 AT HOME AGAINST THE WASHINGTON NATIONALS, 7:10 
PM EST
Winner, FINAL SCORE: Cincinnati 15 Washington 0, profit of $440.76

NBA BET FOR 1% OF THE BANKROLL - SHIT SPECIAL OF THE DAY
$573 NBA 510 MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES --6 1/2 AT HOME AGAINST THE TORONTO RAPTORS, 8:05  PM EST
Loser, Toronto 95 Minnesota 93. loss of $573
"Lets turn this tide around! My Shit Special of the Day is on the Minnesota Timberwolves -6.5 over the Toronto Raptors. The favorite in this series is 12-1 ATS the last 13 meetings. Raptors are an abysmal 2-7 in there last 9 road games. Minnesota is 5-3 straight up and 6-2 ATS last 8 games and have been playing good ball since AK47 and Pekovic came back. Best of luck"


  Grading at lines above, about the worst lines I could find.
Of course, always shop around.
     ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SBMS Report Card
 Week Before Last Loss (Monday through Sunday week) = $6,126.94
 Last Week's Loss =  $1,512.22
This weeks loss =   $4,427.61

263 comments:

  1. Morning!
    Hondo (6-3) (67%)

    Welcome to the Hondo Financial Wellness Center. Mr. Aitch rewarded his devotees and himself yesterday by correctly forecasting a Padre victory at the big Citi, but the Braves were overmatched against Cliff Lee last night so the wad shrunk ever so slightly to 95 burdettes.
    Tonight, he is carin’ about Haren — 10 units on the Nats bats to bash Bailey.
    Fade play-Cincinnati Reds

    ReplyDelete
  2. thoughts on Phillies today. Opening day, KC continues its road trip
    its been a rough few days
    --Navy

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I don't know. Neither pitcher is very good. Maybe the over isn't a bad play. I know what you mean. It's been a week since I've had a winning day.

      Delete
    2. What is winning. Haha. I almost feel like fading myself.
      --Navy

      Delete
    3. I know that this Hondo fade is going to work out in the long term. I keep telling myself that I'm going to make this cash back eventually. I just need to be patient.

      Delete
    4. i like philly and at -$115 i think im going to roll with it for 1/2 %

      Delete
  3. Exactly. I find the start of the season a bit tough b/c there really isnt a fade, since teams are trying to get out of the gates strong. Hondo is picking smart but long term his picks are not good. I may take a few wks off fading him and re-eval then. If you look at his long term baseball record, its poor, but of those wins, I would bet most of them come in the first 1/4 of the year.

    What about fading Mighty Quinn too or considering it. Baseball only.
    --Navy

    ReplyDelete
  4. i did go 2-1 yesterday making me just down the juice for the week so i will take

    Phillies -117 for 1/2 %

    ReplyDelete
  5. Crusher is off to a good start. I haven't looked at Quinn.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Actually the last 2 years the Hondo fade has been very profitable in April. The fade was 29-19 and 31-19 the last 2 years. According to that, there should be around 40 plays left this month for him. That leaves a lot if time for him to crash.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Good stats Slats...I guess my thought is not correct. I usually played my own baseball and picked up Hondo in month 2...BUT you've changed me thought to stick it out.
      --Navy

      Delete
  7. morning everyone,

    lets turn this tide around! My Shit Special of the Day is on the Minnesota Timberwolves -6.5 over the Toronto Raptors. The favorite in this series is 12-1 ATS the last 13 meetings. Raptors are an abysmal 2-7 in there last 9 road games. Minnesota is 5-3 straight up and 6-2 ATS last 8 games and have been playing good ball since AK47 and Pekovic came back. Best of luck.

    My small bet today is on the Indiana Pacers -2.5 over the OKC Thunder. OKC is on a high yesterday from beating the Spurs but have to travel to Indiana today in less than a 24 hour turnaround time. Pacers have been off since 4/1 and should be the fresher team. I expect Pacers to pull away in the 4th and win this game. Best of luck everyone!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. btw pacers are playing for the central division title tonight so they will step it up.

      Delete
  8. gator only 6 more runs to go in the Angels/Rangers game and its in the 8th inning. lol

    ReplyDelete
  9. I hit my over in the Yankees game earlier. Man they're bad lol.

    -Danny

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. u think we could make money fading the Yankees every game?

      Delete
  10. Rosica = GSW
    Jordan = S. Clara
    M.Quinn = S. Clara
    Ind Cow = S. Clara, u191 OKC, Pirates, Rockies

    --Navy

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. don't forget lang is probably same as rosica

      Delete
    2. kinda want to fade s. clara if these 3 bozos are on them

      Delete
  11. Hi everyone.. brutal start for me today lol. can't win em all

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. tough start gator good thing I took Detroit rl to offset the loss 1-2 for me

      Delete
    2. Angels bullpen blows donkey

      Delete
  12. Sorry shit.. looking like 0fer today

    ReplyDelete
  13. tough to hit the overs when the total is already high that's the first time I have seen it in double digits.

    ReplyDelete
  14. Angels and Texas avg.11 runs per game last yr

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. watch the next game goes over. lol

      Delete
  15. Yep.. bad days will happen.. just read the games wrong

    ReplyDelete
  16. I put in white sox run line. so hopefully I can make a small profit in baseball.

    u told me there were gonna be ups and downs. lol

    ReplyDelete
  17. I like the Redsox 2nite +135 especially if Phillies hold on

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. maybe an over 8.5 and red sox parlay?

      Delete
  18. If you guys really want to get risky parlay Boston with the Marlins. shit u know I liked over in bos too

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. yeah that's why I said that because u liked it. tough start today. what u got gator for the rest of the night? I am laying off of baseball not working today.

      Delete
  19. Philly is trash
    Im taking redsox +135 for 1/2 %
    Minn -6 for 1/2 %
    GL 2nite everyone!

    ReplyDelete
  20. Ended up playin over in Baltimore. parlayed MIA with bos and over bos. can't handicap bases loaded 1 out and no runs

    ReplyDelete
  21. If you guys want an easy Live play, try and get the under in the Knicks game ASAP. Just got it at 198.5 and it just keeps dropping

    -Danny

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. my book didn't have that only the nationally televised tv games.

      Delete
    2. Lame...I'm not sure how my book decides which ones to do but it's easy to bet the ones they do pick lol. I rarely make any pregame bets anymore lol

      -Danny

      Delete
  22. Why I hate NBA. hawks give up 40 1q fts to.sixers lol

    ReplyDelete
  23. I hate that I can't parlay Game totals in the NBA

    -Danny

    ReplyDelete
  24. Red sox.. 2nd and 4rd no one out will get nada. what a joke

    ReplyDelete
  25. At least bos over wins

    ReplyDelete
  26. gator I stayed away from g. mason it was tempting though.

    found an under I liked in the bobcats/heat pounded under 3rd qtr and 4th qtr.

    total points in the 3rd qtr 26 I had 47 cash it!

    ReplyDelete
  27. why I hate baseball cinci scores 7 runs in 1 inning has 14 runs total.

    ReplyDelete
  28. Nice call on under shut.did u play bosox over. haven't watched any NBA. to into MLB lol

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. no I stayed away from baseball after the 4 games earlier. just concentrating on the nba

      figures I didn't bet on the bosox over and it hits. lol

      Delete
  29. u saw Louisville dropped to -10 damn I was hoping for an -11 so I can get wichy.

    ReplyDelete
  30. Went 1/4 on biggest plays. at least not on 0fer lol

    ReplyDelete
  31. Wichy still 10.5 here

    ReplyDelete
  32. Sox and Marlins gonna kill this parlay

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I got a feeling fakers are gonna win tonight they always get all the calls at home. u know the league wants them in the playoffs too.

      Delete
  33. damn pacers are getting KILLED!

    timberwolves lost.

    at least another under in the 4th qtr of the bobcats game coming through.

    ReplyDelete
  34. days like these u just want to go hide under a rock. lol

    ReplyDelete
  35. Bad effort at plate by sox. this parlay is monstrous on payout lol

    ReplyDelete
  36. Damn just saw hockey play lost on shootout...

    ReplyDelete
  37. it's all good. just one day

    ReplyDelete
  38. sox and marlins parlay!!! and over hits.. wow does that help those bad calls earlier lol

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. yep!! nice win.. they left so many risp i thought we were doomed

      Delete
  39. Replies
    1. yep!! nice win.. they left so many risp i thought we were doomed

      Delete
  40. shit.. what is ur line for louisville to win it all? less than -170 has value i think

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. mine has -142 I am sorry I can't back them I have Michigan to win it all in a bracket pool and if they win I win some $$$. I am gonna be going against them every step of the way.

      Delete
  41. shit... today was a bad day not just for betting.. we need to rant tonite lol!!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. man my head has been killing me today too not sure if its sleep or the baby. lol we shall see

      I pounded the fakers tonight I figured david stern wants them in the playoffs and they have had a huge advantage at the free throw attempt at home.

      Delete
  42. if u have mich in that pool and they beat cuse. u gotta hedge some on ville im assuming

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. that's assuming wichy don't beat ville. anything can happen nothing is written in stone. lol

      Delete
  43. yep the fakers will get ft but if its dwight howard... enough said lol. take 4 advil. ur headache will go away. trust me not an over dose.. i would know

    ReplyDelete
  44. Well, I had a wonderful 0-8 day today thanks to tailing Crusher, fading IC, and the Phillies and T Wolves.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. sorry slats for that shitty twolves pick I may lay off of nba tomorrow.

      Delete
    2. No biggie, that was just 1 out of 8 lol.

      Delete
    3. hard to fade ic as he is winning a lil as of late.

      Delete
  45. I think ur right. I went over on the 3rd qtr/ 4th qtr of this suns/warriors game and over in 2H on the kings game small on all of them.

    will do I always go for 1 advil and I am fine. hahaa

    ReplyDelete
  46. 1 advil doesnt touch me. i take 4 advil everyday. 3 herniated neck discs and 2 in the lower back will do that to u. i dont take any other meds lol

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. wow. did u play sports when u were young?

      Delete
  47. shit.. i have my leans for mlb tomm if u want them lol

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. sure. give it to me straight!

      although college will be my #1 bet I will add some baseball.

      Delete
  48. herniated my lower back discs at 17 playing racketball as a freshman in college, 3 necks discs was a car accident that i got hit on the highway at 70 mph, lucky i didnt die lol

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. wow. u r the million dollar man.

      my dad had a car accident last year he was at a stop sign and someone hit him at 40-45 mph. he has back problems too and one of his arms is immobile. he was in the army never any health problems now he is all messed up but at least he is walking.

      Delete
  49. Boston/Toronto over, miami/nym under, mets/dogers ml parlay, sea/chw over 7.5, wash/cin over 8.5, roayls, brew crew, indians

    ReplyDelete
  50. wow, chi sox gonna lose looks like

    ReplyDelete
  51. im still deciding what to play form those

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  52. yep. glad he is ok. lucky he can walk..

    ReplyDelete
  53. yeah u like chi sox too?

    hey we should have faded Celtics today they lost again lol

    ReplyDelete
  54. damn.. i totally forgot we are fading the celtics until the playoffs. how did we miss that. needs to be the shit play of day until end of reg season

    ReplyDelete
  55. i would have parlayed dodgers with chi sox.. glad i didnt

    ReplyDelete
  56. gator go bet on the under 2H of the grizzlies/fakers game. I got under 46.5 for 3rd and 4th qtr and 2H.

    ReplyDelete
  57. did u do under 2nd half also or just quarters?

    ReplyDelete
  58. shit.. u watching the chi sox.. dunn crushed a ball.. its 30 degrees there.. if it was 60 looong gone

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. they win?

      I am watching the sunnies/warriors game. lol can't find baseball on my tv.

      Delete
  59. i get the mlb package but its free this week channel 743.

    ReplyDelete
  60. quick bases loaded 2 outs. chi sox down 1!! exciting stuff even with no money on it

    ReplyDelete
  61. all that for 3 straight strikes LOL

    ReplyDelete
  62. still trying to figure out with men on 1st and 3rd with 2 outs.. why not steal 2nd base. a hit drives in 2 which they got but ventura did not call for the steal lol

    ReplyDelete
  63. david stern might want the fakers in the playoff.. but they just flat out stink lol!

    ReplyDelete
  64. i cant beleieve we almost lost that 3q... lucky kobe missed

    ReplyDelete
  65. yeah I was checking out the sunnies game. they stink too

    ReplyDelete
  66. we got the under by 2 lol

    ReplyDelete
  67. ventura for chi sox is a moron. down 2 when the pitcher is throwing balls in the dirt.. u steal 2nd base putz lol. glad i didn't bet money on that managerial incompetence

    ReplyDelete
  68. yea. kobe missed a 3 at the buzzer. shouldnt have been close they had 30 pts with 3 min to go and then 15

    ReplyDelete
  69. Replies
    1. we should go out on a winning note (hopefully)

      Delete
  70. would be nice.. that parlay saved me today...would be nice to be up a little

    ReplyDelete
  71. damn.. 8 pts in 45 seconds... ugh

    ReplyDelete
  72. I took a hit today so we shall see on this game.

    ReplyDelete
  73. im not watching.. im watching the dogers.. i love vin scully

    ReplyDelete
  74. 30 points so we need under 17 in 4:52 to go. damn gonna be close lol

    I took a couple advils feel like a million dollars now!

    ReplyDelete
  75. advil is the best drug on earth imo

    ReplyDelete
  76. I gotta watch the game I bet on sorry dodgers. lol

    2:45 to go 11 points or less we need

    ReplyDelete
  77. lock it in we got the under unless it goes ot.

    ReplyDelete
  78. ok dodgers won.. lets go under lol

    ReplyDelete
  79. not ot like u said please lol

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  80. u bet on dodgers?

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  81. huge miss.. good game is at 1

    ReplyDelete
  82. no bet on dodgers. just like listening to vin scully. what a legend. an pbp guy who is actually knowledgeable

    ReplyDelete
  83. they dodgers were -200.. to much for my blood.. 120 is max for me. wish i would have parlayed them with someone but didnt know who.. should have done the braves.. feldman is a bum lol

    ReplyDelete
  84. I had a small bet on fakers moneyline too c'mon fakers (only time I will root for them btw)

    I expect a weird call that goes fakers way

    ReplyDelete
  85. horrible Memphis possession. pray for a miss

    ReplyDelete
  86. once again they get the benefit of the call.

    ReplyDelete
  87. what was the line on the game.. didnt look at any nba today

    ReplyDelete
  88. I think it was -2 go figure

    ReplyDelete
  89. at least we cashed the unders huh?

    ReplyDelete
  90. nice 3 wins.. good call shit

    ReplyDelete
  91. good.. made some change today.. anything + is better than - lol

    ReplyDelete
  92. u noticed conley got no call oh well I cashed on fakers and the under....

    ReplyDelete
  93. those last 2 memphis possessions were abysmal

    ReplyDelete
  94. nice to go out in the night WINNING!

    ReplyDelete
  95. yea.. had that been kobe easily would have been a foul

    ReplyDelete
  96. did u just do ml or lay points?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. anything 2.5 or less I just do moneyline I learned my lesson pay the extra surcharge as insurance.

      Delete
  97. so u decided ur best games tomorrow?

    ReplyDelete
  98. david stern made a quick call during that last timeout haha

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. yeah the grizzlies were not going to get any calls. zebras swallowed the whistle.

      I am backing fakers at home until the end of the season!

      Fading Celtics until end of season. = a winning formula.

      Delete
  99. nah not yet.. which ones of those do u like lol

    ReplyDelete
  100. i agree.. i hate laying points...like u less than 3 its ml and if more now become an auto parlay with someone

    ReplyDelete
  101. just dont love the mlb card tomorrow. gotta look deeper to find my best play

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. well if u don't like anything then we can just do live bets on the 2 final four games. lol make easy money that way.

      Delete
  102. yea might do that.. i work for the first game home for the 2nd. good i wont miss michigan

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Michigan is a fun team to watch.

      I am hesitant to bet that bosox/Toronto over 8.5, 2 games in a row is that too much? some of these are totals are already -120/-115

      Delete
  103. daamn.. they are lower here.. less action in vegas i guess. best lean right now is under mia/nym 7. still deciding if i wanna play it

    ReplyDelete
  104. i agree fading celts and play lakers home should be good

    ReplyDelete
  105. fakers had 18 free throw attempts while Memphis only had 7. Seven? damn that's low especially if u got Zach Randolph and marc gasol.

    ReplyDelete
  106. also Miami heat won again with the B-team. lol maybe we should back them too.

    and fade the nuggets. danilo galinari is out for season hurts there chances in playoffs.

    ReplyDelete
  107. did u see his injury.. was gross.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. just watched it gross but I still think Louisville kid was worse his leg went at a 90 degree angle forward.

      Delete
  108. did i tell u to put a small future bet on the sharks in the nhl.

    ReplyDelete
  109. if not see what u can get on them.. they match up well vs everyone but chicago and their goalie niemei has been on fire!

    ReplyDelete
  110. no futures on my book may have to wait for start of playoffs. how much is ur future odds?

    ReplyDelete
  111. what are ur futures in baseball.

    do u at least cash one everytime u do a future?

    ReplyDelete
  112. hockey i have blues and sharks. 5 dimes doesnt do future bets?? they have to... mlb i took angels at 12/1 before they got hamilton, phillies at 22/1, and bo sox at 33/1

    ReplyDelete
  113. and louisville injury was def worse. horrifying

    ReplyDelete
  114. didnt cash any ncaa basketball futures. hedge out of all and made a little. nothing much

    ReplyDelete
  115. how does a mike dantoni offense score 86 pts lol

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. well grizzlies actually have a good defense. plus nash wasn't playing that's why I took them. lol if nash plays I would have taken grizzlies.

      Delete
  116. well if they do have a future in nhl I don't see it they took down the odds.no baseball futures either. maybe in the morning? not sure.

    I remember I did a future bet before the NFL playoffs started when the Arizona cardinals went to the super bowl I didn't hedge and I was left with nothing. so pissed till this day. I did bet them big every game though.

    ReplyDelete
  117. ok.. i am going with mia/nym under 7 for only 1/8... im taking a shot

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. ok I am in with u. nice early morning game too.

      Delete
  118. yea look in the morning. one of my books does it all the time the other 2 are every morning until the games go off

    ReplyDelete
  119. like ive said many times.. mlb is alot of fun but a grind. great day yest.. ended up so so today..

    ReplyDelete
  120. I still laugh at Miami marlins I am so used to florida marlins. then I think about back to the future 2 and they had it as Miami in the world series. lol

    ReplyDelete
  121. i think niese (NYM) is gonna have a great year. he ended very well last year

    ReplyDelete
  122. oh yea.. forgot about that.. they knew something but messed up the flying cars

    ReplyDelete
  123. soo glad i didnt take g. mason.. how do u lose at home to win a tourney

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I think lang had g. mason today hahaha I saw a lot of people took santa clara and the line kept dropping from +2 to +1 so I stay away

      Delete
  124. my book has bayern munich tomm at -1 -105.. seems to easy (german soccer)

    ReplyDelete
  125. hey gator what u think about the *gasp* yanks tomorrow?

    ReplyDelete
  126. i had no read on the game...next year.. same tourney if home team wins game 1. pound game 2 other side like we did with mason this year

    ReplyDelete
  127. i go to sleep every night on channel 213.. love mlb network.

    ReplyDelete
  128. u betting Bayern munich? my book had it at -1 -107 always sticking it to me huh?

    ReplyDelete
  129. too early for me to get into baseball with college basketball still going on. lol

    might even bet on the nfl draft coming up. easy money.

    ReplyDelete
  130. how do u bet on the draft.. never done it.. ill use ur picks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. they have props u can bet like will luke joeckel go #1. will there be a qb drafted in the first round. I know they do it offshore not sure in vegas.

      Delete
  131. in terms of yankkes.. dont like phil hughes. big scherzer fan so no go for me lol

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. just checking since it was a big dog.

      yeah another former dback scherzer throws hard.

      Delete
  132. im telling u.. if u take some of these mlb plays like -150 and add a huge soccer favorite or team total that is like 99%. lowers that baseball to almost even on a parlay. I added Benfica team total over at -700 to that bo sox over

    ReplyDelete
  133. ill check to see if the draft is available here if so I'll do it with u. scherzer is a beast on those strikeouts

    ReplyDelete
  134. so u put in on that soccer/baseball parlay? or u thinking about it?

    ReplyDelete
  135. i did today on that boston over. didnt for tomm yet. trying to find something lol

    ReplyDelete
  136. Danny is more knowledgeable about soccer than me... I added real Madrid at -500 the other day.. i knew they wouldn't lose... helped bring down the juice big time

    ReplyDelete
  137. sorry i just checked my wagers.. Benfica was yest with braves under which was -120.. today is did port vale over team total with bo sox... these damn soccer plays get me confused LOL

    ReplyDelete
  138. too many leagues too many weird name teams I can never get a hold of whats going on in soccer. lol

    ReplyDelete
  139. bayern munich is good.. all u need to know LOL

    ReplyDelete
  140. im gonna take a stab at this parlay for one dollar (break the bank) if it hits will pay roughly 500k

    ReplyDelete
  141. I formed a plan on this final four. if lville covers and wins I am taking Syracuse (the dog) and if Wichita covers or wins/ I am taking Michigan (favorite). just like last weekend when Michigan the dog won and Louisville the favorite won. what u think?

    ReplyDelete