Sports Betting Made Simple: TUESDAY: 33 Dime Loss on the Over 196.5 in the Trailblazers/Kings Game, We Lose a Handicapper

Tuesday, December 27, 2011

TUESDAY: 33 Dime Loss on the Over 196.5 in the Trailblazers/Kings Game, We Lose a Handicapper

The sports handicapping community is mourning the loss of Cheetah. Cheetah died at the age of 80 Saturday of kidney failure. Many know him as an actor in the Tarzan movies. Few people know that after his acting days, he worked as a sports handicapper. He worked for Stu Feiner for many years before moving to Florida and handicapping there. He worked under many handicapping aliases, but was mostly known as "Mike Warren" and later "Sean Michaels." Cheetah will be greatly missed, for his humor and his NFL selections. RIP Cheetah.

Major fail tonight as the Trailblazers go over 100 points but the Kings get a lot less points than that. Down 33 dimes on the new betting week as my only bet loses. Mr. Lang loses another 55 dimes today and the Indian Cowboy is hot as usual, going 2-1 on his paid picks and winning his free pick.

I am due for a losing day and a losing week. My new sports monitor is ranking me as their top handicapper for the last 7 days (I have only been giving them picks a few days now. I don't bet all the picks I give the sports monitor, only what is here on the blog). Are those paid handicappers there that bad? No wonder the sports books here are so fancy. If you ever get the urge to pay someone for a sports pick, please lay down and stay there until the urge passes.

I am still chuckling, here is a screenshot. I am about the only one there that posts all their picks to the Free Section before the games go off. I can't stop laughing:

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Total profit since this blog started and today's beginning balance: $82,361

Bet per dime: ($82,361 divided by 1,000 units) times 1.1 = $90.60

ITS 1:18 PM EASTERN TUESDAY - INDIAN COWBOY FOLLOW PLAY: 30 Dimes in in the NBA on OVER 196.5 in the Sacramento Kings/Portland Trailblazers game, 10:00 PM EST. Bet $2,718 (30 X $90.60) Shop around on this line, the worst I have seen is 196 1/2, that is what I am grading it at. I got it at 195, the line has moved down from 196 1/2 to 195 or 195 1/2, Loss $2,718

Loss on the day: 33 dimes or $2,718

Total profit since this blog started and today's ending balance: $79,643

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I found out the Golden Goose got help from another handicapper on last nights game. Here famed handicapper Spot is giving up his winning teaser bet to the Goose. Spot is no dummy, he got a months supply of his favorite dog biscuits for the pick:

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Here is the real deal, the best sports handicapper on the planet, Indian Cowboy. This gentleman is the star of the rodeo, the rest of us are just the rodeo clowns:

Indian Cowboy's picks for today:
5 Stars - NHL: Over 5.5 Montreal Canadiens vs. Ottawa Senators - Win
4 Stars - NBA: Over 196.5 Sacramento Kings vs. Portland Trailblazers - Loss
4 Stars - College Basketball: Notre Dame +1.5 over Pittsburgh - Win
Free Pick - College Football: Over Total Points (61.5 at time of posting) Western Michigan vs. Purdue, 4:30 PM EST. - Win

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The Golden Goose checks in:

Paid Pick: 50 Dimes - Louisville + 1 1/2 - Loss
Free Pick: #1: 2-Team 7 Point Teaser: W. Michigan +10 / Over 54
Free Pick: Louisville/NC State Under the posted total

Analysis

Statisticaly speaking, one is more powerful than the other.

On one hand you have Tom O'Brien a rock solid 8-1 Straight Up in bowl games and on the other side you have Louisville 12-1 ATS last 13 against the ACC.

Something has got to give with both of these teams tonight and considering just how bad North Carolina got rocked last night, the Big East is looking good here.

It's no secret who has the better overall defense and that is Louisville and quite frankly I love their coach Charlie Strong.

Last time I checked, Strong has 2 national championship rings and O'Brien has none. Advantage Strong.

Down the stretch they couldn't score at Florida State getting shutout 34-0, put up 13 at home to the Tarlheels, lost at Boston College, needed a miracle comeback to beat Maryland.

Yes, they were impreessive beating Clemson but Clemson had no reason to play having already locked up the ACC championship game against V'Tech.

This Cardinal bunch has been in almost every single game this year as their 5 losses were by 7, 4, 7, 9 and 7.

Since that 9 point loss at Cincinnati on October 15th, they reeled off 5 of their last 6 games with the only loss at home to Pitt 21-14.

They've covered 7 of their last 8 games and Strong has this team peaking at just the right time.

The Louisville defense will be the difference as they step up and dominate much the way Missouri dominated the Tar Heels last night.

The small dog packs a big bark tonight.

4 comments:

AnonymousDecember 27, 2011 at 7:34 AM
It's because you know the secret. Fade the goose!
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BloggerDecember 27, 2011 at 7:40 AM
Its truly a bonus day. Seeing that ranking this morning for a good laugh and knowing one person is reading my blog! Thanks for your comment!
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GusDecember 27, 2011 at 12:01 PM
I love your blog. A true gentlemen. By the way I'm swngus44 on twitter. So, r we blessed with a real pic of u today?
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BloggerDecember 27, 2011 at 12:10 PM
Hi swngus44, thanks for visiting! I had twitter problems today. I prefer not to give out my picture because of the large amounts of cash I carry around in the morning. My friends at the book are not aware of my blogging, they might try to hit me up for a loan! I think you can understand.
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My rules for sports betting:

As you win, your bets per dime should go up. As you lose, your bets per dime will go down. This automatically adjusts for runs or streaks. You should bet more when you are winning and bet less when you are losing. This rule does not apply to Labby Lines.

ALWAYS get the best line. Shop Around. Get up early. Have multiple outs. This is critical to long-term success, you have to do the work. Never play at a sports book which is known for not paying winners, make sure your sports book is not on the Black List. For grading purposes, we will grade all plays as what is most available to players. So don't be surprised if I change the line during the day for grading purposes, IF the line goes against me.

Use 1,000 dimes. Have the biggest bankroll you can put together. Most of the money you can just keep in the bank. But it has to be there to withstand any severe downturn. This is money you can afford to lose.

Never pay for a pick or bet based on what a paid tout says. You know I am giving you my best opinion, because I am not selling you anything! Help your hungry neighbor if you want to give money to someone. You need to have a filtering process to beat the vig. You got to win more than you lose.

If you ever get the urge to bet on a hockey game, lay down till the urge passes.

If you hit a winning streak and get ahead a lot, consider taking your original bankroll off the table and playing with just the profits. As night follows day, a good winning streak can be followed by a bad one.

Watch for fishy lines in college basketball in small leagues, such as the Horizon League. If several casinos have this off the board and the line moves so that it crosses zero stay off the game or consider betting which way the money is flowing. It may turn into a very entertaining game to watch in the last two minutes.

Don't bet the board. Be very selective. Surround and pound! Scared money is no money. Less is more!

Don't do parlays. Bet one game at a time. Parlays are for losers. Never bet on a hockey game.

You can do teasers, but be very selective.

When you get burned out on gambling or don't feel you are up to your best game, take a few weeks or months off. Enjoy the profits. Travel the world or do something different. Life is short.

Football rule - Tattoo this rule on your arm: Buy the half point (the hook) either up or down depending whether you are on the favorite or the underdog when the line crosses 3, 4 or 7 and sometimes 10.

In the NFL, skip the game or play the other side when a home team opens up at -2 1/2.

Bet the favorites early and underdogs late, especially in a game that is getting a lot of action. Generally the public will be all over the favorite, driving up the price.

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