Friday, October 12, 2012

FRIDAY: $585.42 ON THE NAVY MIDSHIPMEN +2 VISITING THE CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS, 8:00 PM EASTERN

UPDATE: It turns out Brandon Lang was also on the Navy Academy.

Here is what Mr. Lang said about the game:

Going to side with the boat boys tonight.

First and foremost, this line opened Navy as a 3 1/2 point favorite and has sinced moved to the Chippewas as a small home chalk of around -2.

Now I don't know about you but I will gladly get on the opposite side of 5 1/2 point line moves everyday of the week.

You may be asking yourself why the huge money and line move on CMU? 

Well, for one Navy is coming off as big an emotional win as any team could ever have on the road at Air Force, only their 2nd most significant game they have every year.  Army is always the most important.

Secondly, the Midshipmen will be starting a freshman at QB for the first time since 1991 in Keenan Reynolds, who is replacing Trey Miller.

Folks, those two factors are not enough to scare me off the now small underdog tonight.

Last week at the Flyboy's, Reynolds came in with Navy trailing 21-13 in the 4th quarter and led a huge toucdown drive and ensuing 2-point conversion leading them to that 28-21 OT win as a 9 point underdog.

I have always maintained for years, whether it's at the college or pro level, if you can't stop the run you are not going to win football games.

And therein is the matchup between these two tonight.

All about the Navy Midshipmen's 2nd ranked rush offense at 390.8 yards a game versus the CMU 117th rush defense giving up 233.2 yards a game.

I don't know about you but I will gladly roll the dice with the 2nd best rush offense in the country getting points against the 4th worst run defense any day of the week.

If that isn't enough for you allow me to take you to some ridiculous numbers in favor of the MIddies.

Navy is 10-2 ATS last 12 road games versus a team with a losing home record and a fantastic 66-31 ATS last 97 road games.

As for CMU, how about two of the worst numbers you can imagine:  2-15 ATS last 17  on the Vegas board since last year and an absolute horrific 4-21 ATS last 25.

Only one thing concerns me about this game and it's a possible letdown involving Navy after the epic comeback win over Air Force last week.

However, with that being said, it's a service academy, where you are trained not to get emotional about anything but to function as normal as possible.

And the fact it's Navy's #1 strength versus CMU's biggest weakness.  Rush offense versus rush defense.  Advantage Midshipmen.

Small home dog rushes for over 400 yards and wins this game in the 4th quarter much like last week.

This little dog barks loudly this afternoon.

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After losing my last bet, my Labby Line is X - X - 9 - 9 - X -19.8 - 33.12 - X - 44.22.  I am betting to win $532.20 or 53.22 dimes today. My bet is 585.42 on the Navy Midshipmen +2 over the Central Michigan Chippewas to win $532.20.

If I win that bet, my Labby Line on Saturday will be X - X - X - 9 - X -19.8 - 33.12 - X - X.

If I lose today's bet, my Labby Line will become X - X - 9 - 9 - X -19.8 - 33.12 - X - 44.22 - 58.54.

What is a Labby Line? 

RECAP/UPDATE:

Winner, FINAL SCORE: Navy Midshipmen 31 Central Michigan Chippewas 13

One dime is always equal to  $10 (starting fund of $10,000/1,000 dimes) 
Starting Balance at August 31, 2012 - $10,000
Profit or Loss for Today:  Profit of $532.20
Profit or Loss Since Starting This Fund on August 31, 2012 -  Loss of $1,070.99
Balance at end of day, October 12, 2012: $8,929.01

LABBY LINE #1 CLOSED  X - X - X- 10 - X - X - X for a profit of $300
LABBY LINE #2 CLOSED  X - X - X - X for a profit of $400
LABBY LINE #3 CLOSED  X - X - 10 - 10 - 22. - 36.8 - X - X - 51.48 - 67.62 for a  loss of $2,471.71
LABBY LINE #4 CLOSED  X - X - X - X for a profit of $320
LABBY LINE #5 CLOSED  X - X - X - X for a profit of $320
LABBY LINE #6 CLOSED  X - X - X - X for a profit of $320
CURRENT LABBY LINE X - X - 9 - 9 - X -19.8 - 33.12 - X - 44.22 for a loss of $259.28 so far

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