Monday, March 3, 2014

MONDAY: CHEVYCOLA PLAY - 2% of the bankroll on the North Carolina Tar Heels -11 1/2 at home over the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 7:00 PM EST

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        CURRENT FUND: FUND 4          
Starting balance of $50,000 (profit from previous blog winnings)
Today's starting balance = $57,317.73
Today's loss = $1,146
Today's ending balance = $56,171.73
This week's loss through Monday = $1,146
2014 profit = $3,565.21
1% of the bankroll = $573
10 dimes = 1% of the bankroll

BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - CHEVYCOLA PLAY
 $1,146 CBB 720 NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS -11 1/2 -110 AT HOME OVER THE NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH, 7:00 PM EST
Loser, FINAL SCORE: North Carolina 63 Notre Dame 61, loss of $1,146
Chevycola's Analysis
One pick today. I like North Carolina -10.5 vs Notre Dame. The fighting Irish are sinking fast. They've played their way out of any hope of a Tourney bid, dropping their last 4 to sink to 15-15 overall. They lost them all ATS too. North Carolina is peaking at the right time - heading into March. They've won 11 in a row outright, and their last 6 in a row ATS at home. Okay - they lost their last 2 games ATS, but both were conference road games. They took out Notre Dame by 11 at South Bend, and should wallop them again tonight. ND might hang with them for a bit, but they know they've got nothing to play for, and haven't since losing their leading scorer, Jerian Grant, for the year due to academics. On the other hand, the Tar Heels know each win now means a better seed later this month - and blowouts make that seeding even better. I think they win going away.  

Grading at lines above, about the worst lines I could find. 
Of course, always shop around.
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8 comments:

  1. UnknownMarch 3, 2014 at 8:24 AM

    Good morning! Very disappointing end to my week 8-8 & -0.70% that's the gm though grind it out. Back at today let's get it!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. RickMarch 3, 2014 at 10:57 AM

      Good morning Patrick! You will get it this week!

      Delete
  2. RickMarch 3, 2014 at 12:29 PM

    Lang has a 10 Dimer on the Loyola-Maryland +4.5 over Lafayette. Passing on the fade today.

    ReplyDelete
  3. ChevycolaMarch 3, 2014 at 1:47 PM

    One pick today. I like North Carolina -10.5 vs Notre Dame. The fighting Irish are sinking fast. They've played their way out of any hope of a Tourney bid, dropping their last 4 to sink to 15-15 overall. They lost them all ATS too. North Carolina is peaking at the right time - heading into March. They've won 11 in a row outright, and their last 6 in a row ATS at home. Okay - they lost their last 2 games ATS, but both were conference road games. They took out Notre Dame by 11 at South Bend, and should wallop them again tonight. ND might hang with them for a bit, but they know they've got nothing to play for, and haven't since losing their leading scorer, Jerian Grant, for the year due to academics. On the other hand, the Tar Heels know each win now means a better seed later this month - and blowouts make that seeding even better. I think they win going away.

    ReplyDelete
  4. UnknownMarch 3, 2014 at 3:42 PM

    K.st +9
    Navy +10
    Both 1%
    GL guys!

    ReplyDelete
  5. ChevycolaMarch 4, 2014 at 9:43 AM

    Tuesday - Buffalo +2 vs Akron. Exactly the trends I'm looking for. Akron has lost 4 of their last 6 outright. In their last 9 games, they are 1-7-1 ATS. They are 5-10-1 ATS in the conference. They are 3-6 as home favorites, and 2-7 ATS after 2 days rest. Buffalo is the exact opposite. They have won 4 in a row, both outright and ATS. Also have won 7 of last 8 both outright and ATS. They are 3-1 as road dogs, and are 6-1 ATS on 2 days rest. The number and trends point to one thing: Take Buffalo and the 2 points.

    ReplyDelete

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