Wednesday, April 11, 2012

WEDNESDAY: $1,000 LOST ON THE MILWAUKEE BUCKS -4 1/2 AT HOME AGAINST THE NEW YORK KNICKS

UPDATE: Bucks lose outright.

Fund #2 Starting Balance $10,000
Bucks - 4 1/2 loss of $1,000
Fund #2 End of Day 1 Balance $9,000

11:21 AM Eastern: 10% of the fund balance bet today: $1,000 on the Milwaukee Bucks - 4 1/2 at home against the New York Knicks, 8:00 PM est. If you bet this try to get the Bucks -4, but I am grading this at -4 1/2.

Today I am fading Brandon Lang and will probably do that every day for 10% of the bankroll. Mr. Lang has been hot lately winning his last 3 games and his big games this year. He has had a steady diet of underdogs. After he has had a little run, that is the time to start fading him. After not gambling for awhile, now is the time to jump back in.

It's all about money management. My goal here is to double my money. I am no longer adding in the vig with the bet as I may be doing some baseball plays. So my $1,000 bet will win me $909 or I will lose $1,000 depending on the outcome of the game.

NY are 2-12 ATS (against the spread) in the last 14 meetings.
Milwaukee won four of its last five games. Knicks are 11-4 under Woodson but lost three of last four on road.
Knicks: 3rd game/4 nites. Bucks: 4th game/6 nites.
Knicks are 2-4 vs spread playing second night in row on road.

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Mr. Brandon Lang has 25 dimes today on the Knicks +4 over Bucks. His free play is the Suns. His analysis of the game:

"They will respond with a win tonight.

Since Woodson took over for the Knicks they have responded off a loss with flat out resilient effort after resilient effort.

Off a loss to the Raptors on the road 96-79 they returned home the next night and hammered the Pistons 101-79 easily covering the 11 point number.

Off a 100-90 loss to the Hawks in Atlanta, they came home to hammer the Cavs 91-75 easily covering the 11 point number.

Off a 112-104 loss at Indiana, they went into Orlando 2 nights later and destroyed the Magic 96-80 as a 3-point dog.

Sports fans, I fully expect them to hold true to form with a rock solid bounce back effort tonight.

As for the Bucks, they were just blown out by the Thunder and now face a Knicks team they are battling for the 8th seed.

Arguably, the winner of this game will probably clinch the spot.

The Knicks are 5-0 ATS off a SU loss and 6-0 ATS last 6 games when their starters combined for 160 minutes in their previous game.

Finally, they are 7-1 ATS last 8 Wednesday games,

As for the Bucks, how does 1-4 ATS last 5 home games and 1-5 ATS last 6 games versus a team with a winning SU record.

Lastly, the underdog between these two is 5-1 ATS last 6 meetings.

Based on the importance of this game, points will be at a premium and there is value in the underdog.

This puppy is in this one the whole way."

6 comments:

  1. Welcome back Blogger... Hope all is well!

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  2. MattyMeach: Everything is fine with me! Hope things are well with you too, thanks for commenting.

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  3. Great to see you back!! If you went to Europe, Im sure you had a nice time.

    Lets do this again and go for a great ride!

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  4. Anonymous: It just feels right to start it up again. I don't think you can gamble every day of the year and be a winner. You got to take breaks when you go cold. Thanks for the encouragement!

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  5. Couldnt bring myself to delete this blog from my favorites and would peek in here and there. Thought you would be back and I wish you look in this new endeavor.

    ReplyDelete