Thursday, September 12, 2013

THURSDAY: 2% of the bankroll on the New England Patriots -11 -110 at home over the New York Jets, 8:25 PM EST

 1-3-1 day

Service plays
   I want YOU to make money!
 Everything on this site is total bullshit except one thing.
Winning! I pity the fool that does not understand that!
  
CURRENT FUND: FUND 4          
Starting balance of $50,000
Today's starting balance = $39,652.29 
Today's loss = $1,599.53 
Today's ending balance = $38,052.76
This week's loss through Thursday = $1,760.63
   1% of the bankroll = $396

BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - BLOG PLAY OF THE DAY
 $792 NFL 102 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -11 -110 AT HOME OVER THE NEW YORK JETS, 8:25 PM EST 
Loser, FINAL SCORE: New England 13 New York Jets 10, loss of $792

BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - JOEL GILMORE'S UMPIRE UNDER STREAKER 87-35-9 (71%)
 $792 UNDER 8 1/2 RUNS -110 IN THE OAKLAND/MINNESOTA GAME, 1:10 PM EST
Home Plate Umpire Bill Miller 14-4 L18 
Loser, FINAL SCORE: Oakland 8 Minnesota 2, loss of $792
Although I lost this game, I will not get credit for this loss at my sports monitor as they did not have this game listed for some reason.

BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - JOEL GILMORE'S UMPIRE UNDER STREAKER 87-35-9 (71%)
 $792 UNDER 8 RUNS -115 IN THE SAN DIEGO/PHILADELPHIA GAME, 7:05 PM EST
Home Plate Umpire Mike Winters 6-1 L7
Loser, FINAL SCORE: Philadelphia 10 San Diego 5, loss of $792

 BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - JOEL GILMORE'S UMPIRE UNDER STREAKER 87-35-9 (71%)
 $792 UNDER 8 RUNS -105 IN THE MILWAUKEE/ST. LOUIS GAME, 8:15 PM EST
Home Plate Umpire Chris Guccione 6-0 L6
Push, FINAL SCORE: Milwaukee 5 St. Louis 3, no profit or loss

 BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - JOEL GILMORE'S UMPIRE UNDER STREAKER 87-35-9 (71%)
 $792 UNDER 7 1/2 RUNS -102 IN THE CHICAGO CUBS/PITTSBURGH GAME, 7:05 PM EST
Home Plate Umpire Paul Nauert 8-0-1 L9
Winner, FINAL SCORE: Pittsburgh 3 Chicago Cubs 1, profit of $776.47

 Grading at lines above, about the worst lines I could find. 
Of course, always shop around.
  ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SBMS Report Card

25 Week's Ago Loss (Monday through Sunday week) = $6,126.94
24 Week's Ago Loss =  $1,512.22
23 Week's Ago Loss =    $3,872.86
22 Week's Ago Loss  = $3,906.96
21 Week's Ago Profit = $1,829.64
20 Week's Ago Profit = $65.40
19 Week's Ago Profit = $493.95
18 Week's Ago Profit = $2,791.40
17 Week's Ago Profit = $1,435.21
16 Week's Ago Loss = $5,222.35
15 Week's Ago Loss = $5,504.07
14 Week's Ago Loss = $2,348.38
  13 Week's Ago Profit = $1,991.91
12 Week's Ago Profit = $3,091.14 
11 Week's Ago Loss = $3,040
10 Week's Ago Profit  = $729.59
9 Week's Ago Loss = $2,068.15
8 Week's Ago Loss = $991.72
7 Week's Ago Profit = $489.68
6 Week's Ago Profit = $243.32
5 Week's Ago Profit = $587.19
4  Week's Ago Loss  =  $1,205.85
3 Week's Ago Loss = $3,871.90
2 Week's Ago Loss = $2,635.16
Last Week's Loss = $6,319.80
This Week's Loss Through Thursday = $1,760.63
Posted by at

29 comments:

  1. SlatsemflakSeptember 12, 2013 at 7:21 AM

    Morning guys! I hope to sit down today and try to make some sense out of this week's games. Here's what I have so far for today:
    Padres under 8-115
    Brewers under 8+102
    A's under 8.5-114
    Good Luck!

    ReplyDelete
  2. UnknownSeptember 12, 2013 at 8:07 AM

    Good morning guys, since our golden gooses have dried up we have not found a consistent plan of attack that has been profitable. the way i approached gambling from the beginning was to identify the gm's the public bet heavy (70% or higher) on and then try to pick the one to fade based on if line moved in wrong direction or was stagnant etc etc , i had modest success but not the way i wanted to do it bankroll permitting then came the lang fade-the dom fade-jordan fade-atkins fade & so forth now my bankroll even with these current losses is large enough to play the amount of gm's to fade the public properly. this is only a small sample from week 1 of football thru wed including mlb. to make it easy lets say all gm's played at $100 each regular vig for nfl & money line for mlb. the gm's the public marked won we would lose $100 the gm's marked loss is the $ we would win from betting on the dog.

    nfl sides wk1
    sun 9/8
    colts 85% lost +100
    bucs 82% lost +100
    clev 77% lost +100
    kc 71% win -110
    ne 71% lost +100
    total 1-4 +$290

    mon 9/9
    houst 82% lost +$100

    total 1-5

    mlb $ line
    sun 9/8
    wash 88% win
    lad 71% loss +126
    pitt 71% loss +120
    mil 76% win
    sf 77% win
    tex 72% win
    oak 91% win
    tb 88% win
    clev 74% loss +225
    total 6-3 -$149

    mlb $ line
    mon 9/9
    cinc 73% loss +170
    atl 93% win
    wash 83% win
    lad 89% win
    laa 88% loss +154
    det 78% loss +128
    tex loss +164
    total 3-4 +$316

    mlb $ line
    tue9/10
    cinc 94% loss +230
    atl 91% win
    stl 92% win
    tor 71% loss +120
    nyy 79% win
    det 90% win
    oak 91% loss +165
    sea 81% loss +137
    total 4-4 +$252

    mlb $ line
    wed 9/11
    cinci 93% win
    phil 92% win
    lad 76% loss +115
    oak 92% win
    det 94% win
    tex 70% loss +120
    total 4-2 -$165

    if we faded the %'s every gm we went 22-19 +$644



    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. SlatsemflakSeptember 12, 2013 at 10:42 AM

      Patrick: I like your angle. I once did something similar. The only thing is what time you are setting to call the plays. For instance, team A is 71% and team B is 68% at 4:30pm. You would fade team A and not touch team B. However, at 5:00 pm team A is 69% and team B is 73%. That totally changed your plays for the day. Those consensus percentages change all the time. Am I being too anal retentive? Thoughts?

      Delete
    2. UnknownSeptember 12, 2013 at 11:05 AM

      i would play the gm's that fall into that % 1 hr before gm time since im used to betting 1 hr to 1/2 hr before gm time with my guy anyway. 70% and up we fade maybe 1% give or take if team is 69% i would still play it but thats it.

      Delete
    3. SlatsemflakSeptember 12, 2013 at 11:11 AM

      So plays will be posted by 6 eastern weekdays?

      Delete
    4. UnknownSeptember 12, 2013 at 11:21 AM

      im going to track it some more I think Slats because we would have to decide like on college football there is so many games if we are going to just focus on the marquee gms like top 25 where most of the public focus is on maybe I will roll with it for the nfl this weekend? what do you think?

      Delete
    5. SlatsemflakSeptember 12, 2013 at 11:43 AM

      Let's keep an eye on it this weekend. What does everything else think?

      Delete
    6. SlatsemflakSeptember 12, 2013 at 11:44 AM

      Or keep it to the bcs conferences only.

      Delete
  3. UnknownSeptember 12, 2013 at 8:13 AM

    source for the info was sportsbookspy

    ReplyDelete
  4. SlatsemflakSeptember 12, 2013 at 8:47 AM

    FYI:
    @RJinVegas: #NFL home teams on Thursdays have covered 57% of games since 1990. 20-10-1 ATS when laying over a TD. #Patriots

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. RickSeptember 12, 2013 at 9:44 AM

      Good morning everyone!

      I like that system for tonight!

      Delete
    2. SlatsemflakSeptember 12, 2013 at 10:55 AM

      I'm going to play all football plays except for the blazing 5 at 1% until we get things going.
      Patriots -11

      Delete
    3. RickSeptember 12, 2013 at 1:18 PM

      Colin starts off the season cold, at least he did last year.

      Delete
  5. AnonymousSeptember 12, 2013 at 1:46 PM

    Here is what I am looking at tonight...

    Louisiana Tech over team total 32 -120
    Troy over team total 27 (my guy lets me buy the half) -145
    New England over team total 27 (my guy lets me buy the half ) -125

    ---- TRUCK

    ReplyDelete
  6. AnonymousSeptember 12, 2013 at 2:33 PM

    ahhhhh.. Slats now I feel pressure! lol.

    ---- TRUCK

    ReplyDelete
  7. SlatsemflakSeptember 12, 2013 at 2:39 PM

    Patriots over 27
    La Tech over 32-115
    Troy over 27.5-135
    Lets go!

    ReplyDelete
  8. SlatsemflakSeptember 12, 2013 at 2:45 PM

    Patrick: maybe a way to lessen the amount of plays in your system is to do 75 or 80% instead of 70%.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. UnknownSeptember 12, 2013 at 3:40 PM

      I dont necessarily care about the amount of plays in nfl or mlb per say and if we stick to bcs in college fb those are the sharpest. I think part of the system is playing as many gm's against the public as possible with the gm's that have the books interest. before i was trying to pick n choose and that takes the theory out of it that vegas/off shore books in the end win period.

      Delete
    2. SlatsemflakSeptember 12, 2013 at 3:49 PM

      Gotcha. What would tonight's plays be?

      Delete
    3. UnknownSeptember 12, 2013 at 4:05 PM

      Public on
      Atl 86%
      Wash 76%
      Pitt 86%
      Stl 90%
      Lad 97%
      Oak 95%
      Laa 75%
      Clev 81%

      Delete
  9. SlatsemflakSeptember 12, 2013 at 3:01 PM

    Umpire under streaker...
    Cubs under 7.5-102

    ReplyDelete
  10. UnknownSeptember 12, 2013 at 5:28 PM

    Good lucks guys!

    ReplyDelete
  11. UnknownSeptember 12, 2013 at 6:11 PM

    Rick, Truck, any feeling on what me and Slats have been discussing?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. RickSeptember 13, 2013 at 10:24 AM

      Patrick: I am gonna take a close look at it.

      Delete
  12. AnonymousSeptember 12, 2013 at 7:04 PM

    I agree Patrick that fade the public is more than likely a win then a loss. Don't get me wrong... I will probably play 10 team totals this weekend. But with your approach... I can see having to play 20 plus games. At that point the juice will catch up with us.


    ---- TRUCK

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. UnknownSeptember 12, 2013 at 7:19 PM

      With baseball though Truck we will be playing 99% dogs and the % we have to win of those dogs to cash is much lower than when we bet favorites. Also with football when juice comes into play we would limit it to like Slats said bcs. I feel you not a fan of playing 15-20 gms a day but im going to track it and post it so we can see it in black & white then go from there.

      Delete
    2. UnknownSeptember 12, 2013 at 7:21 PM

      And if we find out when baseball is over and the juice kills the system maybe then its a strategy we employ next yr for baseball only ?

      Delete

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