Sports Betting Made Simple: SUNDAY: 75 DIMES WON BY THE HOOK ON THE HOUSTON TEXANS +7 1/2 (TRY TO GET + 8 OR + 9) VISITING THE BALTIMORE RAVENS

Sunday, January 15, 2012

SUNDAY: 75 DIMES WON BY THE HOOK ON THE HOUSTON TEXANS +7 1/2 (TRY TO GET + 8 OR + 9) VISITING THE BALTIMORE RAVENS

Welcome Niner Nation! Today is a new day and we are cooking barbeque in Camden Yards.

Total profit since this blog started and today's beginning balance: $85,663

Bet per dime: ($85,663 divided by 1,000 units) times 1.1 = $94.23

ITS 9:45 PM EASTERN SUNDAY - GOLDEN GOOSE FADE PLAY: 75 Dimes on the Houston Texans +7 1/2 visiting the Baltimore Ravens playing in M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland, 1:00 PM EST., Bet $7,067 (75 X $94.23), grading this at + 7 1/2, try to get + 8 or even +9 without buying a point, as always shop around, RESULTS: Win $6,424

Final Score: Houston Texans 20 Baltimore Ravens 13

Total profit on the day: 75 dimes or $6,424

Total profit since this blog started and today's ending balance: $92,087

Today our featured guest handicapper is Mr. Brandon Lang, our 2011 Handicapper of the Year Award Winner...drum roll please:

Brandon Lang Paid Picks:
75 dimes - Baltimore -7.5 - Loss
25 dimes - 2 team - 7 point teaser: Green Bay - 1/2 & Over 46.5 - Loss

Free Pick - Giants/Packers over 53 - Win

MR. LANG'S ANALYSIS

I just can't back TJ Yates in this spot in as hostile enviornment as you will ever see.

Let's get past the home victory over the Bengals for their first playoff win in the team's history. Congrats.

However, if Matt Schaub can't go in here and stay within single digits regardless of how close the game was in the 4th quarter, then a rookie isn't going to either.

All I've heard is Adrian Foster this and Adrian Foster that but this game will fall into the hands of Yates against the Ravens defense.

This team in this stadium on this day hosting a home playoff game for the first time in years is to much to overcome for a rookie QB.

How soon we forget their loss at winless Indy. How bad Yates looked. How they couldn't get it into the endzone.

This game will be close for awhile but I just believe it's going to be the relentless pressure of this Ravens defense against a rookie QB that will eventually do them in.

It's a big number. It's risen. However, a double digit win is there for the taking with the rested Ravens defense.

The bottom line is this: If T.J Yates plays error free football for 60 minutes and keeps this a single digit game so be it. I will move on and get ready for the conference championship games next week.

For my dollar, I just don't see it. Not today. Not against this defense. Not in this stadium.

The Ravens are 4-1 ATS last 5 as a playoff favorite and on the flip side the Texans are 1-4 ATS last 5 meetings versus this Ravens bunch and that was with Matt Schaub.

All home team by double digits early this afternoon.

MR. LANG'S ANALYSIS

I just don't see them losing this game.

It's been a great run for the Giants. Great run. Huge run.

However, on this day against this offense and this secondary, playing man to man defense they can't match up for 60 minutes.

Will Eli make plays? Sure he will but it won't be enough to match Aaron Rogers at home.

This is a Green Bay team that is averaging over 30 points a game at home and I have no doubt they will get over 30 at home today.

The only question I have is can the Giants get me over 20 against this defense today. I believe they can.

With this line and the Giants offense being pretty darn good I am not messing with a backdoor as we have seen multiple times during the season and the playoffs in years past.

But at the end of the day I just don't see Eli outplaying Rogers in Lambeau. Not today. Not ever.

And with 2 weeks to get ready for the Giants front 4 I believe the Packers will attack where the Giants are most vulnerable. Linebacking corp.

Let's take the Packers down to just winning, call for a high scoring game and be done with it and not have to sweat the 4th quarter.

Home team rolls in this one late this afternoon.

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Guest handicapper Mr. Stu "The Source" Feiner reports in. He had the 49ers winning outright, well, yeah. For $100,000 you can buy his parlay. To save you from PayPal hassles, he has a parlay on the Green Bay Packers and the Baltimore Ravens. Now that we know his big parlay is on Baltimore and Green Bay, we feel better about our Texans + 7 1/2 bet! Check out Stuies video blog. Stu, you are a funny guy, too bad neither of your picks covered. Stu: Parlays are for losers:

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Guest handicapper Al "The Hook" DeMarco checks in. The Hook has the Baltimore Ravens and as usual buy the half point (the hook) to get the play to Ravens - 7. Good thing his customers got the hook for the push, but wouldn't it be better if he had the winning side for a win without buying a point?

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Guest handicapper Steve "No Clue" Budin checks in from here in Las Vegas. Mr. Budin had a 100 Dime Teaser on the Ravens and Packers. Stevo, I hope you did not actually bet that! His last 100 dime bet was on LSU +2 1/2 over Alabama in the BCS National Championship Game. That bet lost too:

Indian Cowboy Goes 0-5 on the day:

2 comments:

FoyboyJanuary 15, 2012 at 11:21 PM
Dude u have been killing it, incredible run, I am a flat bettor, but I might switch it up and follow u. 100k in 2 months is awesome.. Congrats
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BloggerJanuary 15, 2012 at 11:42 PM
Foyboy: Thanks, I might take tomorrow off, don't want to force a play here. Good luck to you!
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Welcome. I hope you are having a great day!

This is an informational blog for Nevada residents only. Please feel free to make comments. If you think I am full of it, tell me! I hope this blog is helpful and entertaining and even possibly profitable to you. I will never tell you to bet a hockey game! Can I tell you the secret to sports betting in two words? Money management. One thing I know for sure, you are here and you are reading this. You are a winner!

My rules for sports betting:

As you win, your bets per dime should go up. As you lose, your bets per dime will go down. This automatically adjusts for runs or streaks. You should bet more when you are winning and bet less when you are losing. This rule does not apply to Labby Lines.

ALWAYS get the best line. Shop Around. Get up early. Have multiple outs. This is critical to long-term success, you have to do the work. Never play at a sports book which is known for not paying winners, make sure your sports book is not on the Black List. For grading purposes, we will grade all plays as what is most available to players. So don't be surprised if I change the line during the day for grading purposes, IF the line goes against me.

Use 1,000 dimes. Have the biggest bankroll you can put together. Most of the money you can just keep in the bank. But it has to be there to withstand any severe downturn. This is money you can afford to lose.

Never pay for a pick or bet based on what a paid tout says. You know I am giving you my best opinion, because I am not selling you anything! Help your hungry neighbor if you want to give money to someone. You need to have a filtering process to beat the vig. You got to win more than you lose.

If you ever get the urge to bet on a hockey game, lay down till the urge passes.

If you hit a winning streak and get ahead a lot, consider taking your original bankroll off the table and playing with just the profits. As night follows day, a good winning streak can be followed by a bad one.

Watch for fishy lines in college basketball in small leagues, such as the Horizon League. If several casinos have this off the board and the line moves so that it crosses zero stay off the game or consider betting which way the money is flowing. It may turn into a very entertaining game to watch in the last two minutes.

Don't bet the board. Be very selective. Surround and pound! Scared money is no money. Less is more!

Don't do parlays. Bet one game at a time. Parlays are for losers. Never bet on a hockey game.

You can do teasers, but be very selective.

When you get burned out on gambling or don't feel you are up to your best game, take a few weeks or months off. Enjoy the profits. Travel the world or do something different. Life is short.

Football rule - Tattoo this rule on your arm: Buy the half point (the hook) either up or down depending whether you are on the favorite or the underdog when the line crosses 3, 4 or 7 and sometimes 10.

In the NFL, skip the game or play the other side when a home team opens up at -2 1/2.

Bet the favorites early and underdogs late, especially in a game that is getting a lot of action. Generally the public will be all over the favorite, driving up the price.

Reader comments may be deleted to eliminate spam or to protect the privacy of my readers. For awhile I was using the statcounter program to monitor traffic. That script has been removed from this blog and I now have no idea how many people now visit the blog or where they are coming from. The time I did monitor blog traffic helped show me what the blog readers were interested in.

For purposes of this blog, all handicappers and readers reside in Las Vegas (even though they may actually live somewhere else) and are regulars at the Mirage Sports Book.

This is not a hate or an expose site. This site is about making money and humor. I appreciate all the guest handicappers who make a periodic appearance here. Good luck to you all!