Total profit since this blog started and today's beginning balance: $91,638
Bet per dime: ($91,638 divided by 1,000 units) times 1.1 = $100.80
ITS 9:35 AM EASTERN SATURDAY - GOLDEN GOOSE FADE PLAY: 75 Dimes on the Purdue Boilermakers + 8 visiting the Michigan State Spartans playing in the Breslin Student Events Center in East Lansing, Michigan at 12:00 PM EST., Bet $7,560 (75 X $100.80), grading this at + 8, here its + 8 and +8 1/2, try to get the +8 1/2, as always shop around. 10:46 AM EST. UPDATE: Its was a race to just get the + 8, we and others hammered Purdue and the line has moved to + 7, everyone is on the fade, I am gonna grade this at + 7 now, RESULTS: Lost $7,560.
Total loss on the day: 82 1/2 dimes or $7,560
Total profit since this blog started and today's ending balance: $84,078
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Today our featured guest handicapper is Mr. Brandon Lang, our 2011 Handicapper of the Year Award Winner...drum roll please:
Brandon Lang Paid Pick:
75 Dimes: Michigan State -8.5 over Purdue - Win
Free pick: Dayton +1.5 over Xavier - Win
that was bad! but its all good like you say, we just gave the book some loan... we'll get it back soon!
ReplyDeletemost likely lang will have a 100 dimer tomm!
btw, about the trend we talked about, tonight we have
ReplyDelete82% on portland (bet pistons)
85% on dallas (bet New Orleans)
88% on Oklahoma City (bet New Jersey)
lets see how this goes...
Shaneel: Thanks, I was thinking of going today with the Indian Cowboys Game of the Month but it lost too. Some days nothing works and its best not to chase. Lets see how you do on the NBA!
ReplyDeletetough luck today blogger... Shaneel i like the idea that you have going. At what percentage are you deciding to fade the public and are you going to factor in line movements? i.e if OKC line opened at -6 and an hour before tip off 88% of public is on okc and the spreads now at... say.... -8.5? or are you only fading when there is a majority public but with no line movements?
ReplyDeletethis is just a thought i had for few months! i think theres a strong chance it might work. to start im just testing it at 80% or more. if this doesnt work we can move it up to 85% or even up to 90% the higher we aim the % the less plays there will be. but like peppermilk says, your better when you have 1 play a day than 5 plays a day.
ReplyDeleteI would rather play 1 play in 2-3 days and win.. than playing 1 everyday and break even!
and to make this work, we have to wait till gametime to see whats the % is on each team. and the public is betting heavily on 1 team the line will move the other way regardless.
Cleveland really sucks. The head coach and fans are demoralized. The team does not have it together at all. Betting against the Cavaliers on the road against good teams is another idea for the NBA.
ReplyDeleteBut dont u think they will adjust line according to this as well. they are well aware of that...
ReplyDeleteShaneel and MacMiller:
ReplyDeleteShaneel's system goes 2 out of 3 today!
82% on portland (bet pistons) - Pistons + 7 - WIN
FINAL: Detroit 94 Portland 91
85% on dallas (bet New Orleans) - New Orleans + 4 - WIN
FINAL: Dallas 83 New Orleans 81
88% on Oklahoma City (bet New Jersey) - New Jersey + 8 1/2 - LOSS
Oklahoma City 84 New Jersey 74
Shaneel: I think they will but not as much as they need to in the short term. Betting against Cleveland might work one or two more games. One fan called in and called the players son of a bitches on the radio. Vegas is just trying to evenly divide up the money and make it on the vig. I don't think the public is fully aware how bad this Cleveland team is now.
ReplyDeleteim gonna start doing this as well... im gonna keep track of public bets above 80% with no line movements. I guess we can discuss the outcomes and any adjustment in the comment section haha
ReplyDeleteYeah... Maybe u can try nccab and NHL... I'll be looking in NBA... I think NBA will work better because it's the hardest sport to handicap...
ReplyDeletealright cool ill look into ncaab. not sure if ill do NHL just because i never really play their lines because of the juice. usually ill just focus on totals and the rare occasion if i see a line below -120 or play a team in regulation.
ReplyDelete