Total profit since this blog started and today's beginning balance: $71,259
Bet per dime: ($71,259 divided by 1,000 units) times 1.1 = $78.38
ITS 12:35 PM EASTERN FRIDAY - MIGHTY QUINN FOLLOW PLAY: 20 Dimes on the Harvard Crimson - 6 visiting the Yale Bulldogs playing in the John J. Lee Amphitheater in New Haven, Connecticut at 7:00 PM EST., Bet $1,567 (20 X $78.38), grading this at - 6, as always shop around. RESULTS: Won $1,424
FINAL SCORE: Harvard 65 Yale 35
Gain on this play: 20 dimes or $1,424
The Mighty Quinn has won his last five games.
-----
BOOOOYA! Today our featured guest handicapper is Mr. Brandon Lang, our 2011 Handicapper of the Year Award Winner...drum roll please:
Brandon Lang Paid Pick:
20 Dimes: Yale + 6 over Harvard - Loss
Free Play: Siena - 8 1/2 - Win
-----
Mr. Lang on the radio yesterday, the D List from Milwaukee - go to the 13:07 mark to hear the interview.
-----
Posted by a poster on the forums:
"Here again, we are looking at two teams with a tremendous amount of historical rivalry in place, both in the classroom and on the courts. Harvard comes in boasting a 16-2 record, undefeated in the Ivy and with one of the two season losses at the hands of UCONN, which would be expected. Harvard has a very mature, senior led team, often the case in Ivy league teams where graduation rates are paramount, but let’s forget about the SAT scores and get to the basketball. Posing a problem for all of their offensively challenged conference foes, Harvard is ranked in the top 25 in the country in defensive efficiency, highlighted by a complete clinic against Dartmouth in their last game out, holding the Big Green to an almost unbelievable 38 points on their own home floor. The Crimson are clearly the most talented and disciplined team in the Ivy and should very likely win the conference without too much of a challenge. The team probably has aspirations to run the table in conference, giving them a sure-fire boost in motivation against this old, old, old-school rival.
One the other side of the tipoff stand the Yale Bulldogs, who have an impressive 12-4 record but have yet to really play an impressive squad and secure the ‘W’. Losses on the road to Seton Hall, Wake Forest and Florida highlight the key offensive issue with this squad: They want to run and run and run with the big boys, but usually come up a bit short in the 2nd half. In this sure to be closely contested matchup, they will need to institute a gameplan of letting their double-double machine Mangano touch the ball early and often. His inside presence, coupled with hitting some key inside-out jump-shots will be the key for Yale to keep this one close down the stretch.
So the key questions in this matchup are, Will Yale have any answer to stop Keith Wright on the interior? Will the offensive balance of Harvard overwhelm Yale, or will they stay committed to stopping the big three point producers? (Keith Wright (10.8), Kyle Casey (10.8 ) and Laurent Rivard (10.4)) Can Yale put up 60+ points on Harvard? It’s the best offense in the Ivy vs. the best defense in the Ivy, who wins?
The first of two major angles supports Harvard strongly, and it’s one of my favorites: REVENGE! With both teams featuring upper classmen, the fact that Harvard lost to Yale in this arena last season 70-69 in one of the closest games you’ll ever see plays a major factor. Don’t be surprised if this one gets chippy, even for a game played by kids with IQ’s higher than the posted total for the game. Note that Harvard has one key feature to the team that might be pushing this line slightly higher…a tiny number next to it’s team signifying a spot in the top 25 in the country. Still, only one of these two teams is going to be playing meaningful basketball in March, meaning this game is ALL IMPORTANT, and they are both going to playing like it tonight.
The way it stands, this game being played in New Haven might make all of the difference. Neither side shows a tremendous advantage ATS. With the home crowd support behind them, highly motivated to take down a ranked foe, Yale has a good opportunity here, particularly catching 6-7 points at the tipoff for a pointspread cover. Yale matches up well with Harvard on the interior, as Mangano and Wright will generally go point for point and block for block—so the onus will lie on both teams perimeter players to win the game. I personally am never a fan of betting on matchups where emotion and foul trouble could turn this one into a rout in an instant. But coupled with the rivalry game home floor advantage (this game has been sold out for about a month now), Mangano’s inside presence and 20-10 ability, and the fact that Yale will try to run and dictate some tempo successfully in this game, I would lean towards taking the points with Yale- and then digging in for a nail biter that might just have you toasting a cold one or cursing at the TV screen based on the last shot of the game. When both teams have the game circled on the calendar as soon as the schedules are released, the safer bet is to take the points.
Good luck to everyone tonight!"
Good call camelbreath, LOL!
No comments:
Post a Comment