Sports Betting Made Simple: FRIDAY: NOT SURE IF I WANT TO BET TODAY

Friday, January 20, 2012

FRIDAY: NOT SURE IF I WANT TO BET TODAY

If I am betting anything today, I will post it by 2:00 PM EST. I may take a break today and read a book. My sports handicapper shows me as the #2 handicapper there on their home page. That is bogus and misleading as I don't actually bet all those picks I give them. I give them hockey picks for example, but would never in real life bet a hockey game. NFL is another matter. I do get a big rush on having a large bet down on a team like the 49ers last Saturday or having 2 grand down on the Mavericks yesterday, when everyone else seemed to like the other side. But I am way overdue for a losing streak. I only bet one or two games a day. If there is any question what I am betting on, check the picture I post on the right. If you are new to the blog, please go back to the first post on the blog and read each day up to the present. I am way overdue to lose some money. I try to keep this as simple as possible. I think my money management is very good.

Your time is valuable. If I am betting you should be able to tell what I am betting on and the dime amount within five seconds or less by the blog title or the picture at the top right. I won't post ads or donation buttons or tell you I am the greatest handicapper that ever lived or post a bogus record. But I will post links to other sites that are useful and I encourage you to go there. If you go to other handicapping sites, notice that very few post links to other websites. I don't want your money or your email address. But I do want your comments, they are always appreciated. I could discontinue this blog at any time. Good luck to you today!

5 comments:

jlee985January 20, 2012 at 11:28 AM
I just found your blog and I think it is exceptional. It has given me a great understanding of betting and money management. Please do not discontinue!
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BloggerJanuary 20, 2012 at 11:41 AM
GoFalcons! - Thanks for your words of encouragement. If this blog has helped you, its been all worth it. Your comment is much appreciated. Good luck today!
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GusJanuary 20, 2012 at 12:25 PM
Nice call the MAVS last night. They played a hell of a game. How will I pay my bills if you discontinue, don't even think about it.
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BloggerJanuary 20, 2012 at 12:35 PM
Gus: Yes Sir!
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jaydigzJanuary 20, 2012 at 3:22 PM
This Blog is Fantastic! Please keep it up if your time allows. I have enjoyed following it the past couple of weeks and look forward to your insight.

-jay
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Welcome. I hope you are having a great day!

This is an informational blog for Nevada residents only. Please feel free to make comments. If you think I am full of it, tell me! I hope this blog is helpful and entertaining and even possibly profitable to you. I will never tell you to bet a hockey game! Can I tell you the secret to sports betting in two words? Money management. One thing I know for sure, you are here and you are reading this. You are a winner!

My rules for sports betting:

As you win, your bets per dime should go up. As you lose, your bets per dime will go down. This automatically adjusts for runs or streaks. You should bet more when you are winning and bet less when you are losing. This rule does not apply to Labby Lines.

ALWAYS get the best line. Shop Around. Get up early. Have multiple outs. This is critical to long-term success, you have to do the work. Never play at a sports book which is known for not paying winners, make sure your sports book is not on the Black List. For grading purposes, we will grade all plays as what is most available to players. So don't be surprised if I change the line during the day for grading purposes, IF the line goes against me.

Use 1,000 dimes. Have the biggest bankroll you can put together. Most of the money you can just keep in the bank. But it has to be there to withstand any severe downturn. This is money you can afford to lose.

Never pay for a pick or bet based on what a paid tout says. You know I am giving you my best opinion, because I am not selling you anything! Help your hungry neighbor if you want to give money to someone. You need to have a filtering process to beat the vig. You got to win more than you lose.

If you ever get the urge to bet on a hockey game, lay down till the urge passes.

If you hit a winning streak and get ahead a lot, consider taking your original bankroll off the table and playing with just the profits. As night follows day, a good winning streak can be followed by a bad one.

Watch for fishy lines in college basketball in small leagues, such as the Horizon League. If several casinos have this off the board and the line moves so that it crosses zero stay off the game or consider betting which way the money is flowing. It may turn into a very entertaining game to watch in the last two minutes.

Don't bet the board. Be very selective. Surround and pound! Scared money is no money. Less is more!

Don't do parlays. Bet one game at a time. Parlays are for losers. Never bet on a hockey game.

You can do teasers, but be very selective.

When you get burned out on gambling or don't feel you are up to your best game, take a few weeks or months off. Enjoy the profits. Travel the world or do something different. Life is short.

Football rule - Tattoo this rule on your arm: Buy the half point (the hook) either up or down depending whether you are on the favorite or the underdog when the line crosses 3, 4 or 7 and sometimes 10.

In the NFL, skip the game or play the other side when a home team opens up at -2 1/2.

Bet the favorites early and underdogs late, especially in a game that is getting a lot of action. Generally the public will be all over the favorite, driving up the price.

Reader comments may be deleted to eliminate spam or to protect the privacy of my readers. For awhile I was using the statcounter program to monitor traffic. That script has been removed from this blog and I now have no idea how many people now visit the blog or where they are coming from. The time I did monitor blog traffic helped show me what the blog readers were interested in.

For purposes of this blog, all handicappers and readers reside in Las Vegas (even though they may actually live somewhere else) and are regulars at the Mirage Sports Book.

This is not a hate or an expose site. This site is about making money and humor. I appreciate all the guest handicappers who make a periodic appearance here. Good luck to you all!