Sports Betting Made Simple: Sunday: Push (It was at Bears + 3 1/2 at half the books early here but we are "grading" it at + 3)

Sunday, December 11, 2011

Sunday: Push (It was at Bears + 3 1/2 at half the books early here but we are "grading" it at + 3)

I am up on the week by over 100 dimes, so what better time to step up to the plate and put some money on a heavily bet game. One that I can move money without changing the line. My sole play today is the Chicago Bears +3 (we are grading it at +3, but try to get it at 3 1/2, I almost never buy the half point). I am betting 11% of my bankroll today.
Lets light the bong and listen to the game on streaming audio. 7:00 PM EST UPDATE: What a day! Thanks to Brandon Lang, what a guy! In fact, we just sent Brandon a deluxe gift package of Omaha Steaks! Guy, you earned it! Not counting this as a profit day for blogging purposes, but I am buying a new Buick tomorrow with today's win. What do you think of the new Lacrosse model? I love the color!

Today's beginning balance: $159,618

Bet per dime: ($159,618 divided by 1,000 units) times 1.1 = $175.58

BRANDON LANG FADE PLAY: 100 Dimes in the NFL on the Chicago Bears +3 (try to get + 3 1/2, we will grade this at +3) visiting the Denver Broncos, 4:05 PM EST, Bet $17,558 (100 X $175.58), RESULTS: Denver Broncos 13 Chicago Bears 10 in OT, PUSH

Profit on the day: $0 (NOTE: I sure hope everybody got this game at Bears + 3 1/2. You got to shop around and get the best number. Here in Las Vegas half the casinos had this at + 3 1/2 early. Have multiple outs if you are in Vilnius! You got to do the work, then the bong! Its my first rule: GET THE BEST AVAILABLE LINE! Why you ask do we grade this as +3. Hell if I know, I cant add another $15 grand on here, it looks unreal!)

Today's ending balance: $159,618

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BUY THIS MAN A STEAK! GOT THE BEARS + 3 1/2! WE LOVE YOU MAN!

BRANDON LANG'S PICKS FOR SUNDAY:

100 Dime
Major Money Move
Game Of The year
Broncos -3

50 Dime
Teaser
3-Team 10 Point Teaser: Patriots +1 / Packers-1.5 / 49ers +6

20 Dime
3-Team
Parlay
3-Team Parlay: Falcons -2.5 / Dolphins -3 / Giants +4.5

Free Play: Chiefs +10.5
Free Play: Bills/Chargers OVER 48

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INDIAN COWBOY SUNDAY PAID PICKS:

4* Football: Titans + 3 1/2
4* Football: OVER 51.5 Raiders/Packers
5* Football: Cowboys - 3 1/2

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I go up against The Legend of Tim Tebow, do the Broncos have any idea they are about to be Langed today?:

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Did you miss the Republican Presidential Debate from Iowa yesterday? Here is the complete video. Loved Mitt Romney, seems he is a betting man. My vote is with Mitt!:

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Speaking of a brawl, watch the Xavier and Cinci players go at it:

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Welcome. I hope you are having a great day!

This is an informational blog for Nevada residents only. Please feel free to make comments. If you think I am full of it, tell me! I hope this blog is helpful and entertaining and even possibly profitable to you. I will never tell you to bet a hockey game! Can I tell you the secret to sports betting in two words? Money management. One thing I know for sure, you are here and you are reading this. You are a winner!

My rules for sports betting:

As you win, your bets per dime should go up. As you lose, your bets per dime will go down. This automatically adjusts for runs or streaks. You should bet more when you are winning and bet less when you are losing. This rule does not apply to Labby Lines.

ALWAYS get the best line. Shop Around. Get up early. Have multiple outs. This is critical to long-term success, you have to do the work. Never play at a sports book which is known for not paying winners, make sure your sports book is not on the Black List. For grading purposes, we will grade all plays as what is most available to players. So don't be surprised if I change the line during the day for grading purposes, IF the line goes against me.

Use 1,000 dimes. Have the biggest bankroll you can put together. Most of the money you can just keep in the bank. But it has to be there to withstand any severe downturn. This is money you can afford to lose.

Never pay for a pick or bet based on what a paid tout says. You know I am giving you my best opinion, because I am not selling you anything! Help your hungry neighbor if you want to give money to someone. You need to have a filtering process to beat the vig. You got to win more than you lose.

If you ever get the urge to bet on a hockey game, lay down till the urge passes.

If you hit a winning streak and get ahead a lot, consider taking your original bankroll off the table and playing with just the profits. As night follows day, a good winning streak can be followed by a bad one.

Watch for fishy lines in college basketball in small leagues, such as the Horizon League. If several casinos have this off the board and the line moves so that it crosses zero stay off the game or consider betting which way the money is flowing. It may turn into a very entertaining game to watch in the last two minutes.

Don't bet the board. Be very selective. Surround and pound! Scared money is no money. Less is more!

Don't do parlays. Bet one game at a time. Parlays are for losers. Never bet on a hockey game.

You can do teasers, but be very selective.

When you get burned out on gambling or don't feel you are up to your best game, take a few weeks or months off. Enjoy the profits. Travel the world or do something different. Life is short.

Football rule - Tattoo this rule on your arm: Buy the half point (the hook) either up or down depending whether you are on the favorite or the underdog when the line crosses 3, 4 or 7 and sometimes 10.

In the NFL, skip the game or play the other side when a home team opens up at -2 1/2.

Bet the favorites early and underdogs late, especially in a game that is getting a lot of action. Generally the public will be all over the favorite, driving up the price.

Reader comments may be deleted to eliminate spam or to protect the privacy of my readers. For awhile I was using the statcounter program to monitor traffic. That script has been removed from this blog and I now have no idea how many people now visit the blog or where they are coming from. The time I did monitor blog traffic helped show me what the blog readers were interested in.

For purposes of this blog, all handicappers and readers reside in Las Vegas (even though they may actually live somewhere else) and are regulars at the Mirage Sports Book.

This is not a hate or an expose site. This site is about making money and humor. I appreciate all the guest handicappers who make a periodic appearance here. Good luck to you all!

Sunday, December 11, 2011

Sunday: Push (It was at Bears + 3 1/2 at half the books early here but we are "grading" it at + 3)

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