I end the betting week with a very nice profit. This run has been like, unreal! I am WAY OVERDUE for my first losing week. I just hope I can make $100,000 in profit before I have my first losing week. Even if I lose all my profits, I still have my new Prius! Old handicappers never die, they just fade away!
Total profit since this blog started and today's beginning balance: $79,962
Bet per dime: ($79,962 divided by 1,000 units) times 1.1 = $87.96
ITS 04:50 AM EASTERN MONDAY - INDIAN COWBOY FOLLOW PLAY: 30 Dimes in college football on the OVER 52.5 in the North Carolina/Missouri Independence Bowl game, 5:00 PM EST. Bet $2,639 (30 X $87.96). As I type this its 52 1/2 all over Vegas, except for one casino that has it at 53. 12:17 PM MONDAY UPDATE: Why does the line always seem to go against me? Most casinos now have this total at 53 even though there is drizzly conditions today. I got it at 52 1/2 Sunday, but for grading purposes I am using 53, as that is a number everyone can get, RESULTS: Won $2,399
Profit on the day: 30 dimes or $2,399
Total profit since this blog started and today's ending balance: $82,361
The Indian Cowboy checks in:
Indian Cowboy plays:
6 STARS - NBA: New Orleans Hornets +7 over Phoenix Suns (9pm est) - Win
5 STARS - College Football: Over 52.5 North Carolina vs. Missouri (5pm est) - Win
4 STARS - NHL: Over 5.5 New York Islanders vs. New York Rangers (7pm est) - Loss
FREE PLAY: Minnesota Timberwolves +5 over Oklahoma City Thunder (8pm est) - Win
-------
The Golden Goose checks in:
WINNER WINNER CHICKEN DINNER AS MR. LANG HITS HIS 100 DIME TEASER
The Golden Goose (Brandon Lang) has a 100 dime play for Monday - a 2-Team 7 Point Teaser: Saints PK, Over 45.5, which he won. The Goose's free play is on North Carolina in the Independence Bowl, and it loses. I will post his expert analysis later....and analyze his analysis. I don't fade his teasers or parlays. I don't do teasers or parlays period. They are for losers. Lang does not gamble, he doesn't care if he is down 1,000 dimes in December or more than 6,000 dimes lifetime at his website. Now its just about screwing the Faders. The guy seems to have a deep seated need to make other people losers. That makes the Lang Fade golden!
Here is Lang's excuse yesterday for his latest 100 dime loss. Why doesn't he just say he screwed up putting out a teaser instead of just taking the Packers. He indicated they were going to blow out the Bears in his expert analysis. If he issued a teaser to screw up the faders just admit it. He acts like he is afraid of a big bet against the spread, like its his customer's last dime. “Scared money don't make no money.” His excuse for losing is just boilerplate now, all the same weasel words with just minor changes like the team names:
Here is the Golden Goose's analysis of his bet tonight. I will spare you my analysis of his analysis and instead head over to the Mirage. UPDATE: Mr. Lang was spot on in his analysis today:
Analysis
Not going to sweat the backdoor tonight.
Last night I was absolutely spot on with taking the Packers down to -5 1/2 saying a backdoor was going to come into play and it sure did.
What I didn't plan on was those two teams combing for 39 points in the 2nd half.
For that matter, how on gods earth does vegas make that total last night 42? Jesus, talk about a bad line.
Well tonight I love the Saints. Love Brees to have a flat out huge night against this Falcons defense.
Trust me when I tell you the Falcons are seeing an offense playing at a level unmatched by anybody in the NFL right now.
This isn't the Jags the Falcons are seeing tonight. It's not Blaine Gabbart they are seeing tonight. It's Drew "Fucking" Brees.
He is shredding people right now, especially at home.
Over his last 5 games he has thrown 16 touchdowns with not one INT. I guess that is the way things are supposeed to be when you are quoted as saying the following:
"I have never felt better in this offense as I do now."
The bottom line is I can't go against a team at home as hot as the Saints are offensively against anybody regardless of what the numbers say about this series.
Are the Falcons 8-2 ATS their last 10 December games? Yup. Is the favorite 0-5 ATS last 5 meetings between these two? Yup.
However, when you put up an average of 30 points a game on the year, come off putting up 42 on the road against the Vikings and that pass rush, I like my chances with you at home.
New Orleans is going to score at least 30 points tonight at home if not 34. So for me the million dollar question is can Atlanta get me at least 17? My answer is yes.
The only way to play this game tonight is take the Favorite down and the total down and go over and win your wager somwhere in the late 3rd quarter if not earlier.
These two combined for 49 at Atlanta and 51 points the last time they met on this field.
The hometeam comes marching in bigtime tonight.
----
The difference between picks and bets: I post all my picks to my sports monitor. They are available free before the game. Then I pick the best of the picks and give them a dime rating based on the latest information I have and these become my actual bets that are posted here on the blog. I do not bet all my picks. The less games you bet on, the better you will do in the long run. We just started at our sports monitor, see how we compare with the "pros" the last seven days on our picks. Remember, "play of the year" and "locks" are marketing gimmicks. FEMA Camp #7 in New Orleans has been reserved for handicappers employing these deceptive marketing practices.
No comments:
Post a Comment