Sports Betting Made Simple: MONDAY: One college basketball play going today on Villanova -6 1/2 over Creighton. Congratulations to Steve Budin for being named our 2013 Handicapper of the Year!

Monday, January 20, 2014

MONDAY: One college basketball play going today on Villanova -6 1/2 over Creighton. Congratulations to Steve Budin for being named our 2013 Handicapper of the Year!

0-1 day

I like Portland today as a road dog over Houston in the NBA but I have had not much luck betting Portland against the spread. Instead I am betting on the Villanova Wildcats at home over Creighton. Villanova has a good record this year of covering the number. I like Seattle to win the Super Bowl and the public loves Denver. Hopefully the line will move to +3 or more on Seattle. I thought the Seahawks offense played poorly yesterday and I think they will do better in the Big Game.

The voting is in. I am proud to announce Chef Stevo (Steve Budin) has been named our 2013 Handicapper of the Year. Congratulations Stevo. Seems the judges were very impressed with Chef Stevo's Sunday Night Bailout Games of the Week and his red sauce recipe was a huge hit. Well done (or make that medium) Stevo!

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I want YOU to make money!

Everything on this site is total bullshit except one thing.

Winning! I pity the fool that does not understand that!

CURRENT FUND: FUND 4

Starting balance of $50,000

Today's starting balance = $55,353.93
Today's loss = $1,106
Today's ending balance = $54,247.93
This week's loss through Monday = $1,106
1% of the bankroll = $553

10 dimes = 1% of the bankroll

Shocker! If you are going to lose, lose by a big margin!

BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - BLOG PLAY OF THE DAY
$1,106 CBB 724 VILLANOVA WILDCATS -6 1/2 -110 AT HOME OVER THE CREIGHTON BLUE JAYS, 7:00 PM EST
Loser, FINAL SCORE: Creighton 96 Villanova 68, loss of $1,106

Grading at lines above, about the worst lines I could find.

Of course, always shop around.

18 comments:

ChevycolaJanuary 20, 2014 at 8:13 AM
Good Morning all. My picks are listed at RX. Clearly football and baseball are my sports. Still trying to work out hoops and hockey. But feel free to fade!
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UnknownJanuary 20, 2014 at 8:45 AM
Good morning guys! glad Rick & the blog are back! I started off 2014 with 3 winning weeks! lets make some $ this yr guys!
12/30-1/6 +1.30% (8-6)
1/7-1/12 +1.70% (5-3)
1/13-1/13 +2.60% (8-5)
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ChrisJanuary 20, 2014 at 10:26 AM
fwiw. if you had a huge bankroll and had multiple books to use when the first sb line came out there were books that had denver and seattle at +105 ml. a bet on both was an automatic win. but for today I'm going with over 5 goals kings bruins game. gl all.
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AnonymousJanuary 20, 2014 at 10:34 AM
Rick,
Say it aint so...two systems that I sware by are the -2' (home favorite) and the "bet w/ the team that was originally favored" are happening w/ this super bowl. While I know there is no home team, in this type of neutral site game I do not think it matters. I'm gonna put some action in and buy the half to assure a +3. I'm way to gitty about this situation. This might just be the December to Remember. Also, we cant look to much into Lang in the finale of the season...he was on the Ravens w/ ya last year. It's one game that he tries to win and markets the hell outta his super bowl record.
--Navy
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DanielJanuary 20, 2014 at 12:07 PM
Glad to see you're back Rick....and everyone too!
good luck this year!
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RickJanuary 20, 2014 at 3:44 PM
Someone posted at the SBR that Lang is on Nebraska today (7:00 PM EST)
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UnknownJanuary 20, 2014 at 4:16 PM
Golden st -1
For 1% GL guys!
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ChrisJanuary 20, 2014 at 4:49 PM
thanks rick. even thoi gh ohio st is losing im going to take them for the second half
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My rules for sports betting:

As you win, your bets per dime should go up. As you lose, your bets per dime will go down. This automatically adjusts for runs or streaks. You should bet more when you are winning and bet less when you are losing. This rule does not apply to Labby Lines.

ALWAYS get the best line. Shop Around. Get up early. Have multiple outs. This is critical to long-term success, you have to do the work. Never play at a sports book which is known for not paying winners, make sure your sports book is not on the Black List. For grading purposes, we will grade all plays as what is most available to players. So don't be surprised if I change the line during the day for grading purposes, IF the line goes against me.

Use 1,000 dimes. Have the biggest bankroll you can put together. Most of the money you can just keep in the bank. But it has to be there to withstand any severe downturn. This is money you can afford to lose.

Never pay for a pick or bet based on what a paid tout says. You know I am giving you my best opinion, because I am not selling you anything! Help your hungry neighbor if you want to give money to someone. You need to have a filtering process to beat the vig. You got to win more than you lose.

If you ever get the urge to bet on a hockey game, lay down till the urge passes.

If you hit a winning streak and get ahead a lot, consider taking your original bankroll off the table and playing with just the profits. As night follows day, a good winning streak can be followed by a bad one.

Watch for fishy lines in college basketball in small leagues, such as the Horizon League. If several casinos have this off the board and the line moves so that it crosses zero stay off the game or consider betting which way the money is flowing. It may turn into a very entertaining game to watch in the last two minutes.

Don't bet the board. Be very selective. Surround and pound! Scared money is no money. Less is more!

Don't do parlays. Bet one game at a time. Parlays are for losers. Never bet on a hockey game.

You can do teasers, but be very selective.

When you get burned out on gambling or don't feel you are up to your best game, take a few weeks or months off. Enjoy the profits. Travel the world or do something different. Life is short.

Football rule - Tattoo this rule on your arm: Buy the half point (the hook) either up or down depending whether you are on the favorite or the underdog when the line crosses 3, 4 or 7 and sometimes 10.

In the NFL, skip the game or play the other side when a home team opens up at -2 1/2.

Bet the favorites early and underdogs late, especially in a game that is getting a lot of action. Generally the public will be all over the favorite, driving up the price.

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