Sports Betting Made Simple: WEDNESDAY: EARLY GAME TODAY, $295.89 BET ON THE WASHINGTON NATIONALS -105 OVER THE SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

Wednesday, July 4, 2012

WEDNESDAY: EARLY GAME TODAY, $295.89 BET ON THE WASHINGTON NATIONALS -105 OVER THE SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

Happy 4th of July!

I continue to fade Lang using the Labby Line. Why do I use a Labby Line? Because Brandon Lang's record this year is 89-116-5 (down -130.5 dimes). Mr. Lang is a 43.4% handicapper this year! That is perfect for using the Labby.

After losing yesterday my Labby Line today is 10 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 18.18 so I will be betting to win 10 + 18.18 or betting to win 28.18 dimes. My bet is $295.89 on the Washington Nationals -105 over the San Francisco Giants to win $281.80 or 28.18 dimes.

If I win that bet, then Thursday my Labby Line will become X - 10 - 10 - 10 - X (I will be betting to win 20 dimes tomorrow).

If I lose today's bet my Labby Line for tomorrow will be: 10 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 18.18 - 29.58

What is a Labby Line?

RECAP/UPDATE:

Thanks Mr. Lang. The Nats beat the Giants 9-4!

Starting Balance at June 26, 2012 - $10,000
Profit or Loss Today - Profit of $281.80
Profit or Loss Since Starting This Fund on June 26, 2012 - Profit of $399.86
Balance at end of day. July 4, 2012 - $10,399.86

LABBY LINE HISTORY:

FIRST LABBY LINE CLOSED: X - X - X - 10 - X - X - X for profit of $299.87 or 29.987 dimes

Mr. Lang's Game Analysis:

Let's keep this short and sweet.

Madison Bumgarner is absolutely rolling to the tune of 10-4 with a 2.85 ERA coming off a completely dominant one hit 8 strikeout performance in a 5-0 win over the Reds at home.

Now he faces a team that in 2 career starts he has given up just one earned run.

He will be as confident as ever when he takes the mound early today.

As for Jackson, he hasn't beaten them since September of 2003 when he was with the Dodgers.

In his 2 other starts against this Giants team he was with the D'backs in 2010 and he lost both while posting a 4.85 ERA. Not exactly confidence building numbers now are they?

Edwin comes into this matchup off a having given up 8 runs on 10 hits in 3 1/3 innings of a 11-10 loss at Colorado.

The Giants are 22-4 in Bumgarners last 26 starts as a favorite while the Nats are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a home dog and 3-7 as a team in Jacksons last 10 starts.

Considering the struggles of Jackson against this Giants team and the flat out winning consistency of Bumgarner, the price is right for the road team to strengthen their lead in the NL West.

Grab the value all day long early today in our nations capital.

6 comments:

ShaneelJuly 4, 2012 at 11:35 AM
couldnt get the bet in! 11 was way too early start!
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jlee985July 4, 2012 at 11:41 AM
Ya I missed the bet too!!! Any suggestions?
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BloggerJuly 4, 2012 at 11:41 AM
Shaneel: 11 AM Eastern is certainly too early to start for a West Coast team, LOL. You will get it next time! Have a great 4th of July Shaneel!
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ShaneelJuly 4, 2012 at 11:48 AM
blogger do you think since we missed the game, should we add 30 to our end of the line and cover it back later?

10-10-10-10-18.18-29.58?

or not?

also, do you remember before i think it was you or somebody else that use to tweet his play? so we can get it on our cellphone via text!
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BloggerJuly 4, 2012 at 11:51 AM
Shaneel: I would just not count this game at all if I missed it. Just pretend it did not happen for your Labby Line. Thats what I do when I miss a game.

Yes I used to tweet Lang's plays back in late November and December. People could hardly believe how bad Lang was LOL. I don't tweet anymore.
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jlee985July 5, 2012 at 11:12 AM
Hey blogger. As you may already know, lang has Angels -1 1/2 +140.
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Welcome. I hope you are having a great day!

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My rules for sports betting:

As you win, your bets per dime should go up. As you lose, your bets per dime will go down. This automatically adjusts for runs or streaks. You should bet more when you are winning and bet less when you are losing. This rule does not apply to Labby Lines.

ALWAYS get the best line. Shop Around. Get up early. Have multiple outs. This is critical to long-term success, you have to do the work. Never play at a sports book which is known for not paying winners, make sure your sports book is not on the Black List. For grading purposes, we will grade all plays as what is most available to players. So don't be surprised if I change the line during the day for grading purposes, IF the line goes against me.

Use 1,000 dimes. Have the biggest bankroll you can put together. Most of the money you can just keep in the bank. But it has to be there to withstand any severe downturn. This is money you can afford to lose.

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If you ever get the urge to bet on a hockey game, lay down till the urge passes.

If you hit a winning streak and get ahead a lot, consider taking your original bankroll off the table and playing with just the profits. As night follows day, a good winning streak can be followed by a bad one.

Watch for fishy lines in college basketball in small leagues, such as the Horizon League. If several casinos have this off the board and the line moves so that it crosses zero stay off the game or consider betting which way the money is flowing. It may turn into a very entertaining game to watch in the last two minutes.

Don't bet the board. Be very selective. Surround and pound! Scared money is no money. Less is more!

Don't do parlays. Bet one game at a time. Parlays are for losers. Never bet on a hockey game.

You can do teasers, but be very selective.

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Football rule - Tattoo this rule on your arm: Buy the half point (the hook) either up or down depending whether you are on the favorite or the underdog when the line crosses 3, 4 or 7 and sometimes 10.

In the NFL, skip the game or play the other side when a home team opens up at -2 1/2.

Bet the favorites early and underdogs late, especially in a game that is getting a lot of action. Generally the public will be all over the favorite, driving up the price.

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