Sports Betting Made Simple: SUNDAY: FADING BRANDON LANG - 2% of the bankroll on UTEP -5 visiting North Texas, 3:00 PM EST

Saturday, March 1, 2014

SUNDAY: FADING BRANDON LANG - 2% of the bankroll on UTEP -5 visiting North Texas, 3:00 PM EST

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CURRENT FUND: FUND 4

Starting balance of $50,000 (profit from previous blog winnings)

Today's starting balance = $57,526.83
Today's loss = $209.10
Today's ending balance = $57,317.73
This week's profit through Sunday = $1,743.98

2014 profit = $4,711.21
1% of the bankroll = $575

10 dimes = 1% of the bankroll

Blowout win!

BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - POINTWISE KEY SELECTION/LANG FADE PLAY
$1,150 CBB 831 UTEP -5 -110 VISITING NORTH TEXAS, 3:00 PM EST
Winner, FINAL SCORE: UTEP 74 North Texas 54, profit of $1,045.45
9:00 AM EST Line Change Update: Grading this at -4 instead of -3 1/2

3:00 PM EST Line Change Update: Grading this at -5 instead of -4

BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - POINTWISE KEY SELECTION
$1,150 CBB 850 UCLA -14 -110 AT HOME OVER OREGON STATE, 9:00 PM EST
Loss, FINAL SCORE: UCLA 74 Oregon State 69, loss of $1,150

10:40 AM EST Line Change Update: Grading this at -13 instead of -12 1/2
3:00 PM EST Line Change Update: Grading this at -13 1/2 instead of -13
6:22 PM EST Line Change Update: Grading this at -14 instead of -13 1/2

Nice call Chevycola!

BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - CHEVYCOLA PLAY
$1,150 CBB 830 VILLANOVA -10 -110 AT HOME OVER MARQUETTE, 2:00 PM EST
Winner, FINAL SCORE: Villanova 73 Marquette 56, profit of $1,045.45
Chevycola's Analysis:
Villanova -9.5 over Marquette. 'Nova is 18-8 overall ATS, as well as 9-3 at home. They are 12-4 ATS after 3 days or more of rest. They already beat Marquette AT Marquette by 9. And Marquette is in a ATS losing streak, dropping their last 3 and are 10-15-1 overall ATS. Playing at home and heading towards tourney time, I think Villanova wins by at least the amount they did vs Marquette on the road, and likely improve on that number.

BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - CHEVYCOLA PLAY
$1,150 CBB 840 TULSA -18 -110 AT HOME OVER TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO, 4:05 PM EST
Loser, FINAL SCORE: Tulsa 72 San Antonio 70, loss of $1,150
Chevycola's Analysis:
Tulsa -18 over Texas-San Antonio (Tx-SA) Okay, I HATE laying this many points, so things have to line up (like the did for SMU yesterday - where we won laying 14.5. But this matchup has all the numbers I've been searching for. Tulsa is 18-7 overall ATS. Tx-SA is 6-13. Tulsa is 8-2 ATS at home. Tx-SA is 2-8 as road dogs. Tulsa has won 8 in a row ATS and 9 of their last 10. Tx-SA has lost 3 in a row, including 5 out of their last 6 ATS. Two teams going in the exact opposite direction.

Grading at lines above, about the worst lines I could find.

Of course, always shop around.

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5 comments:

RickMarch 2, 2014 at 6:47 AM
Good morning everybody!

Sunday Brandon Lang

10 Dimes - North Texas +4 at home over UTEP, 3:00 PM EST
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UnknownMarch 2, 2014 at 7:33 AM
Good morning! 8-6 so far going to swim or sink today! Fading MQ & John anthony again. Discount SP is passing.

Ohio st -2.5
Ucla -13
Both 1%
GL everyone!!
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Replies
ChevycolaMarch 2, 2014 at 8:20 AM
2 Plays today for me in NCAA.

Villanova -9.5 over Marquette. 'Nova is 18-8 overall ATS, as well as 9-3 at home. They are 12-4 ATS after 3 days or more of rest. They already beat Marquette AT Marquette by 9. And Marquette is in a ATS losing streak, dropping their last 3 and are 10-15-1 overall ATS. Playing at home and heading towards tourney time, I think Villanova wins by at least the amount they did vs Marquette on the road, and likely improve on that number.

Tulsa -18 over Texas-San Antonio (Tx-SA) Okay, I HATE laying this many points, so things have to line up (like the did for SMU yesterday - where we won laying 14.5. But this matchup has all the numbers I've been searching for. Tulsa is 18-7 overall ATS. Tx-SA is 6-13. Tulsa is 8-2 ATS at home. Tx-SA is 2-8 as road dogs. Tulsa has won 8 in a row ATS and 9 of their last 10. Tx-SA has lost 3 in a row, including 5 out of their last 6 ATS. Two teams going in the exact opposite direction.

GL all!
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