Friday, February 21, 2014

SATURDAY: EARLY GAME: 2% of the bankroll on the Louisville Cardinals -4 visiting the Cincinnati Bearcats, 12:00 PM EST

3-4 day

Service Plays
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        CURRENT FUND: FUND 4          
Starting balance of $50,000 (profit from previous blog winnings)
Today's starting balance = $55,024.67
Today's loss = $1,400
 Today's ending balance = $53,624.67
This week's loss through Saturday = $2,893.29
2014 Profit = $1,018.15
1% of the bankroll $550
10 dimes = 1% of the bankroll

BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - JAKE PEAVY'S REVENGE PLAY/POINTWISE KEY SELECTION/CHEVYCOLA PLAY
$1,100 CBB 529 LOUISVILLE -4 VISITING CINCINNATI, 12:00 PM EST
Loser, FINAL SCORE: Louisville 58 Cincinnati 57, loss of $1,100
Grading this at -4, try to get -3 1/2
Chevycola's Analysis:
I like this game for the same reasons Rick does - it's a massive revenge game for Louisville. Also, Cinncy's blowout win over UCF isn't anything to crow about. UCF is not a good team, and it was Cincy's first ATS win in it's last 5 games. Everything points to Louisville today.

BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - POINTWISE KEY SELECTION
$1,100 CBB 540 WEST VIRGINIA -3 AT HOME OVER BAYLOR, 1:45 PM EST
Loser, FINAL SCORE: Baylor 88 West Virginia 75, loss of $1,100
Line Change Update: Grading this at -3 instead of -1 1/2

BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - POINTWISE KEY SELECTION
$1,100 CBB 547 NOTRE DAME +12 VISITING VIRGINIA, 2:00 PM EST
Loser, FINAL SCORE:Virginia 70 Notre Dame 49, loss of $1,100
Line Change Update: Grading this at +12 instead of +12 1/2

BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - POINTWISE KEY SELECTION
$1,100 CBB 614 KANSAS -10 AT HOME OVER TEXAS, 7:30 PM EST
Winner, FINAL SCORE: Kansas 85 Texas 54, profit of $1,000

BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - POINTWISE KEY SELECTION
$1,100 CBB 551 NORTH CAROLINA STATE -2 VISITING VIRGINIA TECH, 2:00 PM EST
Winner, FINAL SCORE: North Carolina State 71 Virginia Tech 64, profit of $1,000
Line Change Update: Grading this at -2 instead of -1 1/2

BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - CHEVYCOLA PLAY
$1,100 CBB 595 WYOMING COWBOYS +4 1/2 VISITING THE COLORADO STATE RAMS, 6:00 PM EST
Loser, FINAL SCORE: Colorado State 82 Wyoming 67, loss of $1,100
Chevycola's Analysis:
Wyoming +4 1/2 (15-7-1 ATS) v Colorado St (6-14-1 ATS) 
Wyoming just lost Larry Nance Jr, their leading scorer, for the season. However, that doesn't change the fact that Colorado St is one of the worst teams in conference play, and is horrible ATS, both overall (6-14-1) and at home (3-9). I still feel Wyoming can win the game outright, even without Nance. Getting 4 points is just a bonus. I’m on Wyoming.

BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - CHEVYCOLA PLAY
$1,100 CBB 582 RICHMOND SPIDERS -3 1/2 AT HOME AGAINST THE LA SALLE EXPLORERS, 4:00 PM EST
Winner, FINAL SCORE: Richmond 62 La Salle 49, profit of $1,000 
Chevycola's Analysis:
Richmond is much the same as Wyoming. They too lost their leading scorer Cedrick Lindsey for the season – but on Feb 5th. They've barely missed a beat – coming out and destroying Duquesne and Fordham. They just lost to a tougher opponent GW by 2, and will be looking to take it out on poor LaSalle, who are 0-7 ATS as a road dog, and 5-16-1 overall ATS. Bad teams don’t get better because a good team has an injury.

  Grading at lines above, about the worst lines I could find. 
Of course, always shop around.
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20 comments:

  1. via the rx. lang on st. John's 75 big ones.

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  2. fading boston college. major letdown game. miami -5

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  3. good morning pepper, jakepeavy here..I'm on Louisville as well, let's go cardinals!

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    1. Good luck JAKEPEAVY, I remember you telling me it was a good revenge play before Pointwise liked it as their #1 selection. Go Cards!

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    2. yes..I was hoping Louisville would be a dog or closer to a pick em though. A buddy of mine who is very sharp at hoops likes cinci..hopefully this is one of the 40% of games that he losses!

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  4. Not fading Lang today, I would have to grade Villanova -9, too many points plus I am off the Fade for awhile to see where Lang's little run goes from here.

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  5. Louisville -4
    Miss st +6
    Marshall +7.5
    All 1%

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  6. There's a lot of games I like today, but have weeded them down to these three:

    Louisville -4
    I like this game for the same reasons Rick does - it's a massive revenge game for Louisville. Also, Cinncy's blowout win over UCF isn't anything to crow about. UCF is not a good team, and it was Cincy's first ATS win in it's last 5 games. Everything points to Louisville today.

    Wyoming +4 (15-7-1 ATS) v Colorado St (6-14-1 ATS) (Pinnacle)
    Wyoming just lost Larry Nance Jr, their leading scorer, for the season. However, that doesn't change the fact that Colorado St is one of the worst teams in conference play, and is horrible ATS, both overall (6-14-1) and at home (3-9). I still feel Wyoming can win the game outright, even without Nance. Getting 4 points is just a bonus. I’m on Wyoming

    Richmond -4 v LaSalle
    Richmond is much the same as Wyoming. They too lost their leading scorer Cedrick Lindsey for the season – but on Feb 5th. They've barely missed a beat – coming out and destroying Duquesne and Fordham. They just lost to a tougher opponent GW by 2, and will be looking to take it out on poor LaSalle, who are 0-7 ATS as a road dog, and 5-16-1 overall ATS. Bad teams don’t get better because a good team has an injury.


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    1. Grade the following at these lines - it's been updated at most casinos

      Richmond -3.5
      Wyoming +4.5

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  7. Going fwd any line of -4 or less I'm doing a money line bet. So sick if losing games like Louisville.

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    1. It looked good for awhile. I see Brian Rosica over at Pick Nation had Louisville -3 1/2 or -4 for 100 dimes. Just glad I did not have 10% of the bankroll on the play. Glad also not to be fading Lang here for 75 dimes with Villanova -8 1/2 or -9 only ahead by one point at half time. When you lose the first game, its nice to know you got some other games left to bail you out on the day. Money management trumps marketing in the long run. Good luck Chevy!

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    2. I applied that money line
      Rule to the NFL this year after about the halfway point of the season and it worked wonders

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  8. Watching CSU Wyoming. Good Lord. CSU is hitting 3's like crazy. Not over yet but when one team hits like this ...

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    1. Yep. Kansas looks good at halftime. Blog will probably go 3-4 which is not bad considering we sidestepped the 75 dime Lang Fade which lost. All in all, happy about today. Could of been much worse Chevy!

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