Sports Betting Made Simple: February 2014

Friday, February 28, 2014

SATURDAY: CHEVYCOLA PLAY - 2% of the bankroll on Southern Methodist -14 1/2 at home over Central Florida, 4:00 PM EST

2-2 day

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I want YOU to make money!

Everything on this site is total bullshit except one thing.

Winning! I pity the fool that does not understand that!
I will NEVER ask you for money.

CURRENT FUND: FUND 4

Starting balance of $50,000 (profit from previous blog winnings)

Today's starting balance = $57,736.65
Today's loss = $209.82
Today's ending balance = $57,526.83
This week's profit through Saturday = $1,953.08

2014 profit = $4,920.31
1% of the bankroll = $577

10 dimes = 1% of the bankroll

Thanks Chevycola!
BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - CHEVYCOLA PLAY
$1,154 CBB 580 SOUTHERN METHODIST -14 1/2 -110 AT HOME OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA, 4:00 PM EST
Winner, FINAL SCORE: SMU 70 Central Florida 55, profit of $1,049.09
4:40 PM EST Line Change Update: Grading this at -14 1/2 instead of -14
Chevycola's Analysis:
SMU is 9-1 ATS as a home favorite, while UCF is 5-14-1 ATS overall. Only thing I don't like about this is that up next for SMU is Louisville. Recommend only 1% on this one. Disappointed there's not more on the board I like today, but one thing I've learned is the days I lose the most are the days I push it. Thought about taking Evansville and also Pittsburgh, but they both have things going against them and I threw them out. If you want to look at the matchups and see if it's something you like - those were the others I had on my list.

BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - POINTWISE KEY SELECTION
$1,154 CBB 669 SAN FRANCISCO -4 1/2 -110 VISITING LOYOLA MARYMOUNT, 10:00 PM EST
10:00 PM EST Line Change Update: Grading this at -4 1/2 instead of -3
If you bet this early and got the -3 you got a win.
Loser, FINAL SCORE: San Francisco 65 Loyola Marymount 64, loss of $1,154

BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - POINTWISE KEY SELECTION
$1,154 CBB 616 MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE -18 1/2 -110 AT HOME OVER RICE, 6:30 PM EST
Winner, FINAL SCORE: Middle Tennessee State 65 Rice 41, profit of $1,049.09

BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - POINTWISE KEY SELECTION
$1,154 CBB 539 LOUISVILLE -5 -110 VISITING MEMPHIS, 2:00 PM EST
Loser, FINAL SCORE: Memphis 72 Louisville 66, loss of $1,154
12:33 PM EST Line Change Update: Grading this at -5 instead of -4 1/2

Grading at lines above, about the worst lines I could find.

Of course, always shop around.

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Welcome. I hope you are having a great day!

This is an informational blog for Nevada residents only. Please feel free to make comments. If you think I am full of it, tell me! I hope this blog is helpful and entertaining and even possibly profitable to you. I will never tell you to bet a hockey game! Can I tell you the secret to sports betting in two words? Money management. One thing I know for sure, you are here and you are reading this. You are a winner!

My rules for sports betting:

As you win, your bets per dime should go up. As you lose, your bets per dime will go down. This automatically adjusts for runs or streaks. You should bet more when you are winning and bet less when you are losing. This rule does not apply to Labby Lines.

ALWAYS get the best line. Shop Around. Get up early. Have multiple outs. This is critical to long-term success, you have to do the work. Never play at a sports book which is known for not paying winners, make sure your sports book is not on the Black List. For grading purposes, we will grade all plays as what is most available to players. So don't be surprised if I change the line during the day for grading purposes, IF the line goes against me.

Use 1,000 dimes. Have the biggest bankroll you can put together. Most of the money you can just keep in the bank. But it has to be there to withstand any severe downturn. This is money you can afford to lose.

Never pay for a pick or bet based on what a paid tout says. You know I am giving you my best opinion, because I am not selling you anything! Help your hungry neighbor if you want to give money to someone. You need to have a filtering process to beat the vig. You got to win more than you lose.

If you ever get the urge to bet on a hockey game, lay down till the urge passes.

If you hit a winning streak and get ahead a lot, consider taking your original bankroll off the table and playing with just the profits. As night follows day, a good winning streak can be followed by a bad one.

Watch for fishy lines in college basketball in small leagues, such as the Horizon League. If several casinos have this off the board and the line moves so that it crosses zero stay off the game or consider betting which way the money is flowing. It may turn into a very entertaining game to watch in the last two minutes.

Don't bet the board. Be very selective. Surround and pound! Scared money is no money. Less is more!

Don't do parlays. Bet one game at a time. Parlays are for losers. Never bet on a hockey game.

You can do teasers, but be very selective.

When you get burned out on gambling or don't feel you are up to your best game, take a few weeks or months off. Enjoy the profits. Travel the world or do something different. Life is short.

Football rule - Tattoo this rule on your arm: Buy the half point (the hook) either up or down depending whether you are on the favorite or the underdog when the line crosses 3, 4 or 7 and sometimes 10.

In the NFL, skip the game or play the other side when a home team opens up at -2 1/2.

Bet the favorites early and underdogs late, especially in a game that is getting a lot of action. Generally the public will be all over the favorite, driving up the price.

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This is not a hate or an expose site. This site is about making money and humor. I appreciate all the guest handicappers who make a periodic appearance here. Good luck to you all!