Sports Betting Made Simple: 2012

Monday, December 31, 2012

MONDAY: 2% of the bankroll on the UNDER 58 1/2 in the Clemson/LSU game, 7:30 PM EST

Service Plays

FBZ Monday Service Plays Thread

ATS Monday Service Plays Thread

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I want YOU to make money!

Everything on this site is total bullshit except one thing.

Winning! I pity the fool that does not understand that!

CURRENT FUND: FUND 4

Starting balance of $50,000

Today's beginning balance = $59,610.04

Today's profit = $1,083.63

Today's ending balance = $60,693.67

1% of the bankroll = $596

MY PLAY FOR 2% OF THE BANKROLL:

$1,192 ON CFB UNDER 58 1/2 IN THE LSU/CLEMSON GAME, 7:30 PM EST
Winner, FINAL SCORE: Clemson 25 LSU 24, profit of $1,083.63

Grading at lines above, about the worst lines I could find.

Of course, always shop around.

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Sunday, December 30, 2012

SUNDAY: 2% of the bankroll on the New England Patriots -10 at home against the Miami Dolphins, 4:25 PM EST

Service Plays

FBZ Sunday Service Plays Thread

ATS Sunday Service Plays Thread

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I want YOU to make money!

Everything on this site is total bullshit except one thing.

Winning! I pity the fool that does not understand that!

CURRENT FUND: FUND 4

Starting balance of $50,000

Today's beginning balance = $58,546.41

Today's profit = $1,063.63

Today's ending balance = $59,610.04

1% of the bankroll = $585

MY PLAY FOR 2% OF THE BANKROLL:

$1,170 ON NFL 304 THE NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -10 OVER THE MIAMI DOLPHINS, 4:25 PM EST

Winner, FINAL SCORE: Patriots 28 Dolphins 0, profit of $1,063.63

Grading at lines above, about the worst lines I could find.

Of course, always shop around.

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Saturday, December 29, 2012

SATURDAY: 2% of the bankroll on the Navy Midshipmen +13 over the Arizona State Sun Devils in the Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl, 4:00 PM EST

12:31 PM EST UPDATE: I am now grading this play at +13 from +14 because of the line moves.

Service Plays

FBZ Saturday Service Plays Thread

ATS Saturday Service Plays Thread

Rx Saturday Service Plays Thread

Newsletter Links

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I want YOU to make money!

Everything on this site is total bullshit except one thing.

Winning! I pity the fool that does not understand that!

CURRENT FUND: FUND 4

Starting balance of $50,000

Today's beginning balance = $59,740.41

Today's loss = $1,194

Today's ending balance = $58,546.41

1% of the bankroll = $597

MY PLAY FOR 2% OF THE BANKROLL:

$1,194 ON CFB 231 THE NAVY MIDSHIPMEN +13 OVER THE ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS IN THE KRAFT FIGHT HUNGER BOWL AT AT&T PARK IN SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA, 4:00 PM EST

Loser, FINAL SCORE: Arizona State 62 Navy 28, Loss of $1,194

Grading at lines above, about the worst lines I could find.

Of course, always shop around.

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I can't see Navy losing by two touchdowns in this bowl game.

Reader Navy wants to know who Pick Nation has:
Chris Jordan 1000*: Rice +2
Valentino 100 Dimes: Rice +2
Trace Adams: Oregon State -3 1/2 (buy down the half point down to -3)

Thursday, December 27, 2012

FRIDAY: 2% of the bankroll on Virginia Tech -2 over Rutgers in the Russell Athletic Bowl, 5:30 PM EST

Service Plays

ATS Friday Service Plays Thread

Rx Friday Service Plays Thread

Newsletter Links

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I want YOU to make money!

Everything on this site is total bullshit except one thing.

Winning! I pity the fool that does not understand that!

CURRENT FUND: FUND 4

Starting balance of $50,000

Today's beginning balance = $58,674.96

Today's profit = $1,065.45

Today's ending balance = $59,740.41

1% of the bankroll = $586

MY PLAY FOR 2% OF THE BANKROLL

THE RUSSELL ATHLETIC BOWL IN ORLANDO, FLORIDA:
$1,172 ON CFB 226 THE VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES -2 OVER THE RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS IN THE RUSSELL ATHLETIC BOWL, 5:30 PM EST
Winner, FINAL SCORE: Virginia Tech 13 Rutgers 10, Profit of $1,065.45

Grading at lines above, about the worst lines I could find.

Of course, always shop around.

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Virginia Tech has been winning lately and Rutgers not so good. Hokies -2! No Blazing Five for this weekend.

THURSDAY: 2% of the bankroll on the Duke Blue Devils +9 over the Cincinnati Bearcats in the Belk Bowl, 6:30 PM EST

Service Plays

ATS Thursday Service Plays Thread

Rx Thursday Service Plays Thread

Newsletter Links

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I want YOU to make money!

Everything on this site is total bullshit except one thing.

Winning! I pity the fool that does not understand that!

CURRENT FUND: FUND 4

Starting balance of $50,000

Today's beginning balance = $59,870.96

Today's loss = $1,196

Today's ending balance = $58,674.96

1% of the bankroll = $598

MY PLAY FOR 2% OF THE BANKROLL

THE BELK BOWL AT BANK OF AMERICA STADIUM IN CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA:
$1,196 ON CFB 220 THE DUKE BLUE DEVILS +9 OVER THE CINCINNATI BEARCATS IN THE BELK BOWL, 6:30 PM EST

Loser, FINAL SCORE: Cincinnati 48 Duke 34, loss of $1,196

Grading at lines above, about the worst lines I could find.

Of course, always shop around.

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The Blue Devils have stumbled here late in the season. They did well enough from earlier in the season to get to a Bowl Game and I think the 9 1/2 points are too much to be giving them in this matchup close to home. Even with their poor season ending, Duke shows up in this bowl game to cover, maybe win.

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Welcome. I hope you are having a great day!

This is an informational blog for Nevada residents only. Please feel free to make comments. If you think I am full of it, tell me! I hope this blog is helpful and entertaining and even possibly profitable to you. I will never tell you to bet a hockey game! Can I tell you the secret to sports betting in two words? Money management. One thing I know for sure, you are here and you are reading this. You are a winner!

My rules for sports betting:

As you win, your bets per dime should go up. As you lose, your bets per dime will go down. This automatically adjusts for runs or streaks. You should bet more when you are winning and bet less when you are losing. This rule does not apply to Labby Lines.

ALWAYS get the best line. Shop Around. Get up early. Have multiple outs. This is critical to long-term success, you have to do the work. Never play at a sports book which is known for not paying winners, make sure your sports book is not on the Black List. For grading purposes, we will grade all plays as what is most available to players. So don't be surprised if I change the line during the day for grading purposes, IF the line goes against me.

Use 1,000 dimes. Have the biggest bankroll you can put together. Most of the money you can just keep in the bank. But it has to be there to withstand any severe downturn. This is money you can afford to lose.

Never pay for a pick or bet based on what a paid tout says. You know I am giving you my best opinion, because I am not selling you anything! Help your hungry neighbor if you want to give money to someone. You need to have a filtering process to beat the vig. You got to win more than you lose.

If you ever get the urge to bet on a hockey game, lay down till the urge passes.

If you hit a winning streak and get ahead a lot, consider taking your original bankroll off the table and playing with just the profits. As night follows day, a good winning streak can be followed by a bad one.

Watch for fishy lines in college basketball in small leagues, such as the Horizon League. If several casinos have this off the board and the line moves so that it crosses zero stay off the game or consider betting which way the money is flowing. It may turn into a very entertaining game to watch in the last two minutes.

Don't bet the board. Be very selective. Surround and pound! Scared money is no money. Less is more!

Don't do parlays. Bet one game at a time. Parlays are for losers. Never bet on a hockey game.

You can do teasers, but be very selective.

When you get burned out on gambling or don't feel you are up to your best game, take a few weeks or months off. Enjoy the profits. Travel the world or do something different. Life is short.

Football rule - Tattoo this rule on your arm: Buy the half point (the hook) either up or down depending whether you are on the favorite or the underdog when the line crosses 3, 4 or 7 and sometimes 10.

In the NFL, skip the game or play the other side when a home team opens up at -2 1/2.

Bet the favorites early and underdogs late, especially in a game that is getting a lot of action. Generally the public will be all over the favorite, driving up the price.

Reader comments may be deleted to eliminate spam or to protect the privacy of my readers. For awhile I was using the statcounter program to monitor traffic. That script has been removed from this blog and I now have no idea how many people now visit the blog or where they are coming from. The time I did monitor blog traffic helped show me what the blog readers were interested in.

For purposes of this blog, all handicappers and readers reside in Las Vegas (even though they may actually live somewhere else) and are regulars at the Mirage Sports Book.

This is not a hate or an expose site. This site is about making money and humor. I appreciate all the guest handicappers who make a periodic appearance here. Good luck to you all!