Sports Betting Made Simple: November 2013

Saturday, November 30, 2013

SUNDAY: 2% of the bankroll on the Miami Dolphins PICKEM -110 visiting the New York Jets, 1:00 PM EST

3-1 day

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Las Vegas Hilton Week #13 NFL Early Line
Las Vegas Hilton Week #14 NFL Early Line

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I want YOU to make money!

Everything on this site is total bullshit except one thing.

Winning! I pity the fool that does not understand that!

CURRENT FUND: FUND 4

Starting balance of $50,000

Today's starting balance = $52,155.54
Today's profit = $1,890.03
Today's ending balance = $54,045.57
This week's loss through Sunday = $54.02
1% of the bankroll = $521

10 dimes = 1% of the bankroll

BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - BLOG PLAY OF THE DAY
$1,042 NFL 437 MIAMI DOLPHINS PICKEM -110 VISITING THE NEW YORK JETS, 1:00 PM EST
Winner, FINAL SCORE: Miami 23 New York Jets 3, profit of $947.27
Going against the "experts" with this pick
1:10 PM EST LINE CHANGE UPDATE: Grading this at PICKEM instead of +1 1/2

BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - AL'S PAID PLAY
$1,042 NFL 442 SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS -7 1/2 -105 AT HOME OVER THE ST. LOUIS RAMS, 4:05 PM EST
Winner, FINAL SCORE: San Francisco 23 St. Louis 13, profit of $992.38
Grading this play at -7 1/2, you might want to consider buying this down to -7

BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - CHEF STEVO'S BAILOUT PLAY
$1,042 NFL 447 NEW YORK GIANTS PICKEM -110 VISITING THE WASHINGTON REDSKINS, 8:30 PM EST
Winner, FINAL SCORE: New York Giants 24 Washington 17, profit of $992.38

BETTING 2% OF THE BANKROLL - BLOG TOTAL'S GAME OF THE DAY
$1,042 NFL OVER 45 POINTS -110 IN THE NEW YORK GIANTS/WASHINGTON GAME, 8:30 PM EST
Loser, FINAL SCORE: New York Giants 24 Washington 17, loss of $1,042

Grading at lines above, about the worst lines I could find.

Of course, always shop around.

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SBMS Report Card

36 Week's Ago Loss (Monday through Sunday week) = $6,126.94

35 Week's Ago Loss = $1,512.22

34 Week's Ago Loss = $3,872.86

33 Week's Ago Loss = $3,906.96

32 Week's Ago Profit = $1,829.64

31 Week's Ago Profit = $65.40

30 Week's Ago Profit = $493.95

29 Week's Ago Profit = $2,791.40

28 Week's Ago Profit = $1,435.21

27 Week's Ago Loss = $5,222.35

26 Week's Ago Loss = $5,504.07

25 Week's Ago Loss = $2,348.38

24 Week's Ago Profit = $1,991.91

23 Week's Ago Profit = $3,091.14

22 Week's Ago Loss = $3,040

21 Week's Ago Profit = $729.59

20 Week's Ago Loss = $2,068.15

19 Week's Ago Loss = $991.72

18 Week's Ago Profit = $489.68

17 Week's Ago Profit = $243.32

16 Week's Ago Profit = $587.19

15 Week's Ago Loss = $1,205.85

14 Week's Ago Loss = $3,871.90

13 Week's Ago Loss = $2,635.16

12 Week's Ago Loss = $6,319.80

11 Week's Ago Profit = $315.85

10 Week's Ago Profit = $3,777.59

9 Week's Ago Profit = $3,259.08

8 Week's Ago Loss = $1,630.51

7 Week's Ago Profit = $1,864.91

6 Week's Ago Loss = $3,941.27

5 Week's Ago Loss = $3,920.20
4 Week's Ago Profit = $5,238.77
3 Week's Ago Profit = $11,548.33
2 Week's Ago Loss = $612.76
Last Week's Loss = $1,883.49
This Week's Loss Through Sunday = $54.02

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Welcome. I hope you are having a great day!

This is an informational blog for Nevada residents only. Please feel free to make comments. If you think I am full of it, tell me! I hope this blog is helpful and entertaining and even possibly profitable to you. I will never tell you to bet a hockey game! Can I tell you the secret to sports betting in two words? Money management. One thing I know for sure, you are here and you are reading this. You are a winner!

My rules for sports betting:

As you win, your bets per dime should go up. As you lose, your bets per dime will go down. This automatically adjusts for runs or streaks. You should bet more when you are winning and bet less when you are losing. This rule does not apply to Labby Lines.

ALWAYS get the best line. Shop Around. Get up early. Have multiple outs. This is critical to long-term success, you have to do the work. Never play at a sports book which is known for not paying winners, make sure your sports book is not on the Black List. For grading purposes, we will grade all plays as what is most available to players. So don't be surprised if I change the line during the day for grading purposes, IF the line goes against me.

Use 1,000 dimes. Have the biggest bankroll you can put together. Most of the money you can just keep in the bank. But it has to be there to withstand any severe downturn. This is money you can afford to lose.

Never pay for a pick or bet based on what a paid tout says. You know I am giving you my best opinion, because I am not selling you anything! Help your hungry neighbor if you want to give money to someone. You need to have a filtering process to beat the vig. You got to win more than you lose.

If you ever get the urge to bet on a hockey game, lay down till the urge passes.

If you hit a winning streak and get ahead a lot, consider taking your original bankroll off the table and playing with just the profits. As night follows day, a good winning streak can be followed by a bad one.

Watch for fishy lines in college basketball in small leagues, such as the Horizon League. If several casinos have this off the board and the line moves so that it crosses zero stay off the game or consider betting which way the money is flowing. It may turn into a very entertaining game to watch in the last two minutes.

Don't bet the board. Be very selective. Surround and pound! Scared money is no money. Less is more!

Don't do parlays. Bet one game at a time. Parlays are for losers. Never bet on a hockey game.

You can do teasers, but be very selective.

When you get burned out on gambling or don't feel you are up to your best game, take a few weeks or months off. Enjoy the profits. Travel the world or do something different. Life is short.

Football rule - Tattoo this rule on your arm: Buy the half point (the hook) either up or down depending whether you are on the favorite or the underdog when the line crosses 3, 4 or 7 and sometimes 10.

In the NFL, skip the game or play the other side when a home team opens up at -2 1/2.

Bet the favorites early and underdogs late, especially in a game that is getting a lot of action. Generally the public will be all over the favorite, driving up the price.

Reader comments may be deleted to eliminate spam or to protect the privacy of my readers. For awhile I was using the statcounter program to monitor traffic. That script has been removed from this blog and I now have no idea how many people now visit the blog or where they are coming from. The time I did monitor blog traffic helped show me what the blog readers were interested in.

For purposes of this blog, all handicappers and readers reside in Las Vegas (even though they may actually live somewhere else) and are regulars at the Mirage Sports Book.

This is not a hate or an expose site. This site is about making money and humor. I appreciate all the guest handicappers who make a periodic appearance here. Good luck to you all!